iRay Technology Company Limited (SHSE:688301) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 63% gain and recovering from prior weakness. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 6.1% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about iRay Technology's P/E ratio of 36.8x, since the median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio in China is also close to 34x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, iRay Technology has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. Or at the very least, you'd be hoping it doesn't keep underperforming if your plan is to pick up some stock while it's not in favour.
Keen to find out how analysts think iRay Technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.How Is iRay Technology's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, iRay Technology would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 15%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 71% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 27% per year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 19% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it interesting that iRay Technology is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From iRay Technology's P/E?
Its shares have lifted substantially and now iRay Technology's P/E is also back up to the market median. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of iRay Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future earnings could see some volatility.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for iRay Technology (2 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of iRay Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.