The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Shenzhen Fluence Technology PLC. (SZSE:300647) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
What Is Shenzhen Fluence Technology's Debt?
As you can see below, Shenzhen Fluence Technology had CN¥920.5m of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥965.5m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥156.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥763.7m.
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How Strong Is Shenzhen Fluence Technology's Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Shenzhen Fluence Technology had liabilities of CN¥1.13b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥198.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥156.9m in cash and CN¥461.5m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥714.4m.
Since publicly traded Shenzhen Fluence Technology shares are worth a total of CN¥3.68b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Shenzhen Fluence Technology will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Shenzhen Fluence Technology had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 38%, to CN¥616m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.
Caveat Emptor
Not only did Shenzhen Fluence Technology's revenue slip over the last twelve months, but it also produced negative earnings before interest and tax (EBIT). To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥241m. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through CN¥232m of cash over the last year. So suffice it to say we consider the stock very risky. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Shenzhen Fluence Technology you should be aware of.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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