China CITIC Bank's (HKG:998) Three-year Earnings Growth Trails the Respectable Shareholder Returns
China CITIC Bank's (HKG:998) Three-year Earnings Growth Trails the Respectable Shareholder Returns
One simple way to benefit from the stock market is to buy an index fund. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. For example, China CITIC Bank Corporation Limited (HKG:998) shareholders have seen the share price rise 46% over three years, well in excess of the market decline (2.9%, not including dividends).
從股票市場受益的一個簡單方法是買入一個指數基金。但如果你選擇正確的個股,你可能會賺得更多。例如,中信銀行股份有限公司(HKG:998)的股東在過去三年裏看到股價上漲了46%,遠遠超過了市場的下跌(2.9%,不包括分紅派息)。
Since it's been a strong week for China CITIC Bank shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
由於中信銀行股東這一週表現強勁,讓我們來看一下長期基本面的趨勢。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
禾倫·巴菲特在他的論文《格雷厄姆-道德斯維爾的超級投資者》中描述了股票價格並不總是合理地反映企業的價值。通過比較每股收益(EPS)和股價隨時間變化的變化,我們可以了解到投資者對某家公司的態度如何隨時間而變化。
China CITIC Bank was able to grow its EPS at 4.5% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. In comparison, the 13% per year gain in the share price outpaces the EPS growth. This indicates that the market is feeling more optimistic on the stock, after the last few years of progress. It's not unusual to see the market 're-rate' a stock, after a few years of growth.
中信銀行在過去三年裏每年的每股收益增長率達到了4.5%,推動股價上漲。相較之下,每年13%的股價漲幅超過了每股收益的增長。這表明市場在看待該股時更爲樂觀,經過過去幾年的進展。幾年的增長之後,看到市場對一支股票進行『重新定價』並不罕見。
You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).
您可以在下面的圖片中查看每股收益如何隨時間變化(單擊圖表以查看確切的價值)。
We're pleased to report that the CEO is remunerated more modestly than most CEOs at similarly capitalized companies. But while CEO remuneration is always worth checking, the really important question is whether the company can grow earnings going forward. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on China CITIC Bank's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
我們很高興地報告說,該CEO的報酬比大多數類似資本的公司的CEO要適度。但是,儘管CEO的報酬總是值得檢查的,但真正重要的問題是公司未來是否能夠增長收益。現在值得一看的是我們關於中信銀行收益、營業收入和現金流的免費報告。
What About Dividends?
那麼分紅怎麼樣呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of China CITIC Bank, it has a TSR of 90% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
在考慮投資回報時,重要的是要考慮總股東回報率(TSR)和股價回報之間的差異。TSR包括任何拆股或折價增資的價值,以及基於股息被再投資的假設。可以說TSR爲支付股息的股票提供了更完整的圖片。就中信銀行而言,過去3年TSR達到了90%。這超過了我們先前提到的股價回報。毫無疑問,股息支付在很大程度上解釋了這種分歧!
A Different Perspective
不同的觀點
It's nice to see that China CITIC Bank shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 54% over the last year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 12% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with China CITIC Bank , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
看到中信銀行股東在過去一年中獲得了總股東回報率54%是件好事,這包括了股息。由於一年的TSR比五年的TSR要好(後者每年爲12%),似乎該股的業績在最近有所改善。在最理想的情況下,這可能暗示着一些真實的業務動力,這意味着現在可能是更深入挖掘的好時機。我發現長期股價是業務表現的一種代理很有趣。但要真正獲得洞察力,我們還需要考慮其他信息。例如,考慮投資風險的永遠存在。我們已經發現了中信銀行的2個警告信號,了解它們應該成爲您的投資過程的一部分。
For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.
對於那些喜歡尋找獲勝投資的人來說,最近有內部購買的低估公司免費列表可能是一個很好的選擇。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.
請注意,本文引用的市場回報反映了當前在香港證券交易所交易的股票的市場加權平均回報。
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。