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Is Haier Smart Home (SHSE:600690) A Risky Investment?

Is Haier Smart Home (SHSE:600690) A Risky Investment?

海尔智家 (SHSE:600690) 是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  10/09 18:11

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Haier Smart Home Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600690) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,与其担心股价波动,'我担心的是永久性的损失可能性...我认识的每一个实际投资者都在担心。'因此,聪明的钱知道,债务(通常涉及破产)是评估公司风险时的一个非常重要因素。我们可以看到,海尔智家股份有限公司(SHSE:600690)确实在业务中使用债务。但更重要的问题是:这笔债务产生了多少风险?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

债务带来了什么风险?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

当一家公司不能轻松履行这些义务时,债务和其他负债对一家企业变得有风险,无论是通过自由现金流还是以有吸引力的价格筹集资本。最终,如果公司无法履行偿还债务的法律义务,股东可能最终一文不值。尽管这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债的公司因贷款人强迫其以困境价格筹集资本而永久性地稀释股东利益。当然,债务的好处是,它通常代表廉价资本,尤其是当它取代公司具有以高回报率再投资能力的稀释时。考虑一家公司的债务水平时的第一步是将其现金和债务放在一起考虑。

What Is Haier Smart Home's Net Debt?

海尔智家的净债务是多少?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Haier Smart Home had CN¥30.1b of debt, an increase on CN¥27.8b, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥57.3b in cash, leading to a CN¥27.3b net cash position.

您可以点击下方的图表查看历史数据,但截至2024年6月,海尔智家的债务为301亿元人民币,比一年前的278亿元人民币增加。但另一方面,它还有573亿元人民币的现金,导致净现金为273亿元人民币。

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SHSE:600690 Debt to Equity History October 9th 2024
SHSE:600690债务资产比历史数据2024年10月9日

How Healthy Is Haier Smart Home's Balance Sheet?

海尔智家的资产负债表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Haier Smart Home had liabilities of CN¥125.6b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥28.1b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥57.3b and CN¥34.0b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥62.4b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,海尔智家一年内到期的负债为1256亿人民币,之后到期的负债为281亿人民币。另外,它手头有573亿人民币的现金和340亿人民币的应收账款,一年内到期。因此,它的负债总额比现金和短期应收款项总额高出624亿人民币。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Haier Smart Home has a huge market capitalization of CN¥275.3b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Haier Smart Home also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

尽管这看起来很多,但由于海尔智家的市值高达2753亿人民币,所以如果需要的话,它可能通过筹集资金来增强其资产负债表。但很明显,我们应该密切关注它是否能够在不进行股权稀释的情况下管理债务。尽管它确实有值得注意的负债,但海尔智家拥有的现金超过债务,因此我们相当有信心它能够安全地管理债务。

And we also note warmly that Haier Smart Home grew its EBIT by 17% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Haier Smart Home's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

我们还热切关注海尔智家去年EBIt增长了17%,这使得它更容易处理债务负担。资产负债表显然是分析债务时要关注的重点领域。但最终决定海尔智家能否保持健康资产负债表的是未来的收入,而不是其他任何因素。因此,如果您想了解专业人士的看法,您可能会发现这份免费的分析师利润预测报告很有趣。

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Haier Smart Home may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Haier Smart Home recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 84% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

最后,一家公司只能用现金来偿还债务,而不是利润。海尔智家的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但查看业务将其利润转换成自由现金流的能力也是一件有趣的事,因为这将影响到其管理债务的需求和能力。过去三年中,海尔智家的自由现金流价值达到其EBIt的84%,这比我们通常预期的要强。这使其处于一个非常有利的位置来偿还债务。

Summing Up

总之

Although Haier Smart Home's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥27.3b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥16b, being 84% of its EBIT. So we don't think Haier Smart Home's use of debt is risky. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Haier Smart Home's earnings per share history for free.

尽管海尔智家的资产负债表并不十分强劲,由于总负债,看到其净现金为273亿元显然是积极的。并且令我们印象深刻的是其自由现金流为160亿元,占EBIT的84%。因此,我们认为海尔智家的债务使用并不冒险。在绝大多数其他指标之上,我们认为跟踪每股收益增长速度是很重要的,无论是增长或者不增长。如果您也认识到这一点,那就很幸运了,因为您可以免费查看海尔智家每股收益历史的交互图表。

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

如果在所有这些之后,您更感兴趣的是具有坚实资产负债表的快速增长公司,那么不要拖延,查看我们的净现金增长股票列表。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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