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Wah Wo Holdings Group Limited's (HKG:9938) 32% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 9 18:25

Wah Wo Holdings Group Limited (HKG:9938) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 32% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Looking further back, the 13% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Wah Wo Holdings Group's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Construction industry is similar at about 0.3x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SEHK:9938 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024

What Does Wah Wo Holdings Group's Recent Performance Look Like?

Wah Wo Holdings Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Wah Wo Holdings Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Wah Wo Holdings Group?

Wah Wo Holdings Group's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 14% last year. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 32% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 10% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Wah Wo Holdings Group's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Wah Wo Holdings Group's P/S

Wah Wo Holdings Group's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our look at Wah Wo Holdings Group revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Wah Wo Holdings Group (1 is significant!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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