The Greentown China Holdings Limited (HKG:3900) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 35%. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 4.0% isn't as attractive.
Although its price has surged higher, Greentown China Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.3x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 11x and even P/E's above 20x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Greentown China Holdings' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Greentown China Holdings.
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
Greentown China Holdings' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 24%. This means it has also seen a slide in earnings over the longer-term as EPS is down 7.8% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.8% each year as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 12% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Greentown China Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Greentown China Holdings' P/E?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Greentown China Holdings' P/E close to the market median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Greentown China Holdings maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Greentown China Holdings (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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