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Is Alpha Group (SZSE:002292) Using Too Much Debt?

Is Alpha Group (SZSE:002292) Using Too Much Debt?

奧飛娛樂(SZSE:002292)是否使用了過多的債務?
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/10 06:48

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Alpha Group (SZSE:002292) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

霍華德·馬克斯表達得很好,他說,與其擔心股價波動,'我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性... 我認識的每個實際投資者都在擔心這個。' 所以當您考慮任何一隻股票有多大風險時,需要考慮債務,因爲過多的債務可能會拖垮一家公司。我們可以看到奧飛娛樂(SZSE:002292)確實在業務中使用債務。但這種債務會不會讓股東擔憂?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

爲什麼債務會帶來風險?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

債務是幫助企業發展的工具,但如果企業無法償還債務,那麼它就存在於債權人的寬恕中。如果情況變得非常糟糕,債權人可以接管企業。然而,一種更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東,以便使債務得到控制。不過,通過替代稀釋,債務可以成爲需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業的極好工具。考慮企業使用多少債務時,首要之事是看其現金和債務情況。

How Much Debt Does Alpha Group Carry?

奧飛娛樂承擔了多少債務?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Alpha Group had CN¥568.3m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥883.7m, one year before. However, it also had CN¥466.5m in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥101.7m.

您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,但它顯示,截至2024年6月,奧飛娛樂負債爲56830萬人民幣,比一年前的88370萬人民幣減少。然而,它也有46650萬人民幣的現金,因此其淨債務爲10170萬人民幣。

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SZSE:002292 Debt to Equity History October 9th 2024
SZSE:002292 債務與股本歷史 2024年10月9日

How Healthy Is Alpha Group's Balance Sheet?

奧飛娛樂的資產負債表有多健康?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Alpha Group had liabilities of CN¥1.14b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥149.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥466.5m and CN¥427.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥394.2m.

最新的資產負債表數據顯示,奧飛娛樂一年內到期的負債爲11.4億人民幣,之後到期的負債爲14930萬人民幣。 另一方面,它手頭有46650萬人民幣的現金和42710萬人民幣的應收賬款,於一年內到期。 所以它的負債比現金和(短期)應收賬款的總和超過39420萬人民幣。

Of course, Alpha Group has a market capitalization of CN¥9.52b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Carrying virtually no net debt, Alpha Group has a very light debt load indeed.

當然,奧飛娛樂的市值爲95.2億人民幣,因此這些負債可能是可以管理的。 但我們建議股東繼續密切關注資產負債表的趨勢。 奧飛娛樂幾乎沒有淨債務,的確負債負擔非常輕。

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

爲了對公司的債務相對於其收益進行規模適應,我們計算其淨債務與利息、稅、折舊和攤銷前收益(EBITDA)之比及其稅前收益(EBIT)與利息支出之比(利息保障倍數)。因此,我們既考慮到不包括折舊和攤銷費用在內的收益,又包括折舊和攤銷費用的收益相對於債務。

Alpha Group has net debt of just 0.56 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And it boasts interest cover of 7.3 times, which is more than adequate. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Alpha Group turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of CN¥145m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Alpha Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

奧飛娛樂的淨債務僅爲EBITDA的0.56倍,這表明它絕不是一個魯莽的借款人。 它擁有7.3倍的利息覆蓋倍數,綽綽有餘。 去年在EBIt線上虧損的情況下,令人高興的是,在過去12個月裏,奧飛娛樂扭虧爲盈,實現了人民幣14500萬的EBIt。 當您分析債務時,資產負債表顯然是需要關注的領域。 但更重要的是,未來的收入將決定奧飛娛樂能否維持健康的資產負債表。 因此,如果您想了解專業人士的看法,您可能會發現這份關於分析師盈利預測的免費報告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it is important to check how much of its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) converts to actual free cash flow. Over the last year, Alpha Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

最後,雖然稅務人員可能喜歡會計利潤,但貸款人只接受現金。 因此,重要的是查看其利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉換爲實際自由現金流的比例。 過去一年,奧飛娛樂實際產生的自由現金流比EBIt更多。 這種強勁的現金轉化讓我們像在 Daft Punk 音樂會上,當舞曲擊中高潮時,興奮不已。

Our View

我們的觀點

Happily, Alpha Group's impressive conversion of EBIT to free cash flow implies it has the upper hand on its debt. And the good news does not stop there, as its net debt to EBITDA also supports that impression! Zooming out, Alpha Group seems to use debt quite reasonably; and that gets the nod from us. After all, sensible leverage can boost returns on equity. Above most other metrics, we think its important to track how fast earnings per share is growing, if at all. If you've also come to that realization, you're in luck, because today you can view this interactive graph of Alpha Group's earnings per share history for free.

奧飛娛樂令人欣喜的將EBIt轉化爲自由現金流,表明其在債務方面佔據了上風。而好消息並未止步於此,因爲其淨債務與EBITDA的比率也支持這一印象!回顧整體情況,奧飛娛樂似乎相當合理地利用債務;我們也持認同態度。畢竟,明智的槓桿率可以提高股本回報。比起其他大多數指標,我們認爲追蹤每股收益增長速度的重要性不言而喻。如果您也意識到這一點,那麼你運氣不錯,因爲今天您可以免費查看奧飛娛樂每股收益歷史的互動圖表。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

歸根結底,專注於沒有淨債務的公司往往更好。您可以訪問我們的特別列表,其中包括所有表現出盈利增長軌跡的公司。這是免費的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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