Here's Why Dillard's (NYSE:DDS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Dillard's (NYSE:DDS) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Dillard's, Inc. (NYSE:DDS) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
伯克希尔哈撒韦的查理·芒格支持的外部基金经理、李录(Li Lu)直言不讳,他表示:“最大的投资风险不是价格的波动,而是您是否会遭受永久性的资本损失。”因此,看起来聪明的钱都知道债务 - 通常涉及破产 - 是评估公司风险有多大的一个非常重要因素。与许多其他公司一样,Dillard's公司(纽约证券交易所:DDS)也在使用债务。但股东们是否应该担心公司的债务使用呢?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
债务带来了什么风险?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
借债可以帮助企业,直到企业因无法获得新的资本或自由现金流而无法偿还。如果情况真的很糟糕,债权人可以接管企业。然而,一种更常见(但仍然痛苦)的情况是,企业必须以低价筹集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东权益。但是,通过替代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本投资以高回报率增长的企业的极佳工具。当我们考虑公司使用债务时,我们首先看现金和债务的总和。
What Is Dillard's's Debt?
迪拉德百货的债务是多少?
The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Dillard's had US$521.5m in debt in August 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$1.07b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of US$549.0m.
下面的图表显示,迪拉德百货在2024年8月的债务为5.215亿美元;与前一年大致相同。然而,其有10.7亿美元的现金抵消,导致净现金为5.49亿美元。
A Look At Dillard's' Liabilities
看一下迪拉德百货的负债情况
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Dillard's had liabilities of US$780.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of US$932.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.07b and US$103.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$538.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.
深入研究最新资产负债表数据,我们可以看到迪拉德百货有近期到期的负债为7.803 亿美元,而超过12个月到期的负债为9.326 亿美元。另一方面,它手头有10.7 亿美元的现金和一年内到期的应收账款价值1.036 亿美元。因此,它的负债总额为5.388 亿美元,超过了其现金和近期应收账款的合计额。
Since publicly traded Dillard's shares are worth a total of US$5.92b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Dillard's boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
由于迪拉德百货的上市股票总值为59.2 亿美元,这种水平的负债看起来不太可能构成重大威胁。但存在足够的负债,我们肯定会建议股东继续监控资产负债表的变化。尽管其显著的负债,迪拉德百货拥有净现金,所以可以说其负债不重!
In fact Dillard's's saving grace is its low debt levels, because its EBIT has tanked 20% in the last twelve months. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Dillard's can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
事实上,迪拉德百货的救世主是低债务水平,因为其息税前利润在过去12个月中下降了20%。收益下降(如果趋势持续下去)最终可能使即使是小额债务也相当风险。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中最多了解到债务情况。但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定迪拉德百货是否可以随时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您专注于未来,您可以查看此免费报告,其中显示了分析师的盈利预测。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. While Dillard's has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. During the last three years, Dillard's produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 80% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
但我们的最后考虑也很重要,因为一家公司不能用纸面利润偿还债务;它需要冰冷硬通货。虽然迪拉德百货的资产负债表上有净现金,但仍然值得查看其将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流的能力,以帮助我们了解其积累(或侵蚀)现金的速度。在过去三年中,迪拉德百货产生了稳健的自由现金流,相当于其EBIT的80%,大约符合我们的预期。这种自由现金流使公司有能力在适当时偿还债务。
Summing Up
总之
We could understand if investors are concerned about Dillard's's liabilities, but we can be reassured by the fact it has has net cash of US$549.0m. The cherry on top was that in converted 80% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in US$531m. So we don't have any problem with Dillard's's use of debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Dillard's has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
如果投资者对Dillard's的负债感到担忧,我们是可以理解的,但事实上,它拥有5.49亿美元的净现金。最令人欣慰的是,它将其中的80%转化为自由现金流,带来了5.31亿美元。所以我们对Dillard's的债务使用没有任何问题。当你分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。然而,并非所有投资风险都存在于资产负债表中,远非如此。例如,Dillard's有1个警示信号,我们认为您应该注意。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
当然,如果您是那种喜欢购买没有债务负担的股票的投资者,那么不要犹豫,立即发现我们独家的净现金增长股票列表。
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