Angelalign Technology Inc. (HKG:6699) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 29% after a shaky period beforehand. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 31%.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in Hong Kong's Medical Equipment industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.1x, you may consider Angelalign Technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 6.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Has Angelalign Technology Performed Recently?
Recent times have been advantageous for Angelalign Technology as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Angelalign Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Angelalign Technology would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 31%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 60% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 17% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 23% per year, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we find it concerning that Angelalign Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Shares in Angelalign Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for Angelalign Technology, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. The weakness in the company's revenue estimate doesn't bode well for the elevated P/S, which could take a fall if the revenue sentiment doesn't improve. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Angelalign Technology, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of Angelalign Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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