Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300778) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 36% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 13% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Professional Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.2x, you may consider Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design as a stock not worth researching with its 10.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
SZSE:300778 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 10th 2024
How Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 38% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 42% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 31% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design's P/S
Shares in Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen New Land Tool Planning & Architectural Design's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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