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Optimistic Investors Push USPACE Technology Group Limited (HKG:1725) Shares Up 161% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 11 06:46

USPACE Technology Group Limited (HKG:1725) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 161% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Still, the 30-day jump doesn't change the fact that longer term shareholders have seen their stock decimated by the 75% share price drop in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking USPACE Technology Group is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 1x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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SEHK:1725 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 10th 2024

What Does USPACE Technology Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

USPACE Technology Group has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on USPACE Technology Group will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, USPACE Technology Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. The latest three year period has also seen a 12% overall rise in revenue, aided extensively by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 22% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's alarming that USPACE Technology Group's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On USPACE Technology Group's P/S

USPACE Technology Group shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our examination of USPACE Technology Group revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 6 warning signs we've spotted with USPACE Technology Group (including 3 which make us uncomfortable).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on USPACE Technology Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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