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Private Companies Invested in Holly Futures Co., Ltd. (HKG:3678) Copped the Brunt of Last Week's HK$484m Market Cap Decline

Private Companies Invested in Holly Futures Co., Ltd. (HKG:3678) Copped the Brunt of Last Week's HK$484m Market Cap Decline

私营企业投资的弘业期货有限公司(HKG:3678) 承受了上周HK$48400万市值下降的巨大压力
Simply Wall St ·  10/10 19:23

Key Insights

主要见解

  • Holly Futures' significant private companies ownership suggests that the key decisions are influenced by shareholders from the larger public
  • 53% of the business is held by the top 3 shareholders
  • Ownership research, combined with past performance data can help provide a good understanding of opportunities in a stock
  • 弘业期货重要的私人公司所有权表明,主要决策受到更大公众股东的影响。
  • 前三大股东持有该公司53%的股份。
  • 所有权研究结合过去的表现数据可以帮助更好地理解股票的机会。

A look at the shareholders of Holly Futures Co., Ltd. (HKG:3678) can tell us which group is most powerful. The group holding the most number of shares in the company, around 46% to be precise, is private companies. In other words, the group stands to gain the most (or lose the most) from their investment into the company.

看看弘业期货股份有限公司(HKG:3678)的股东,可以告诉我们哪个团体最有权势。持有该公司最多股份的团体,确切地说是大约46%,是私人公司。换句话说,该团体将从他们对公司的投资中获得(或损失)最多。

As market cap fell to HK$12b last week, private companies would have faced the highest losses than any other shareholder groups of the company.

上周,市值下降至120亿港元,私人公司将面临比公司任何其他股东群体更高的损失。

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Holly Futures, beginning with the chart below.

让我们深入研究弘业期货每种所有者的情况,从下面的图表开始。

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SEHK:3678 Ownership Breakdown October 10th 2024
SEHK:3678 所有权分析 2024年10月10日

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Holly Futures?

机构持有权告诉我们关于弘业期货的什么?

Many institutions measure their performance against an index that approximates the local market. So they usually pay more attention to companies that are included in major indices.

许多机构衡量其业绩的标准是一个近似于当地市场的指数。因此,他们通常更加关注包括在主要指数中的公司。

As you can see, institutional investors have a fair amount of stake in Holly Futures. This suggests some credibility amongst professional investors. But we can't rely on that fact alone since institutions make bad investments sometimes, just like everyone does. If multiple institutions change their view on a stock at the same time, you could see the share price drop fast. It's therefore worth looking at Holly Futures' earnings history below. Of course, the future is what really matters.

正如您所看到的,机构投资者在弘业期货中持有相当大比例的股份。这意味着在专业投资者中有一定的信誉。但我们不能仅仅依靠这个事实,因为机构有时会做出糟糕的投资,就像每个人都会一样。如果多个机构同时改变对一只股票的看法,股价可能会迅速下跌。因此,值得查看一下弘业期货的历史收入情况。当然,未来才是真正重要的。

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SEHK:3678 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 10th 2024
2024年10月10日SEHK:3678盈利和营收增长

Hedge funds don't have many shares in Holly Futures. Jiangsu SOHO Holdings Group Co., Ltd. is currently the company's largest shareholder with 30% of shares outstanding. Meanwhile, the second and third largest shareholders, hold 15% and 8.2%, of the shares outstanding, respectively.

对弘业期货而言,对冲基金持有的股份不多。江苏SOHO控股集团有限公司目前是该公司最大的股东,持有30%的股份。与此同时,第二和第三大股东分别持有流通股的15%和8.2%。

To make our study more interesting, we found that the top 3 shareholders have a majority ownership in the company, meaning that they are powerful enough to influence the decisions of the company.

总的来说,包括散户投资者在内,公众拥有公司的14%的股份,因此不能轻易忽视。尽管这种所有权的规模可能不足以在他们的利益方面影响政策决策,但他们仍然可以对公司政策产生集体影响。

Researching institutional ownership is a good way to gauge and filter a stock's expected performance. The same can be achieved by studying analyst sentiments. Our information suggests that there isn't any analyst coverage of the stock, so it is probably little known.

研究机构所有权是衡量和过滤股票预期表现的好方法。分析师观点也可以达到相同的目的。我们的信息表明,这只股票没有任何分析师覆盖,所以它可能不是很出名。

Insider Ownership Of Holly Futures

弘业期货的内部持股情况

The definition of company insiders can be subjective and does vary between jurisdictions. Our data reflects individual insiders, capturing board members at the very least. Company management run the business, but the CEO will answer to the board, even if he or she is a member of it.

公司内部人员的定义可能是主观的,并且在不同的司法管辖区之间是不同的。我们的数据反映了个别内部人员,至少捕捉到了董事会成员。公司管理业务,但首席执行官即使是董事会成员也必须向董事会负责。

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

大多数人认为内部所有权是积极的,因为它可以表示董事会与其他股东的利益相一致。但是,在某些场合下,这个团体的权力过于集中。

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own less than 1% of Holly Futures Co., Ltd.. But they may have an indirect interest through a corporate structure that we haven't picked up on. It is a pretty big company, so it would be possible for board members to own a meaningful interest in the company, without owning much of a proportional interest. In this case, they own around HK$9.8m worth of shares (at current prices). It is always good to see at least some insider ownership, but it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

根据我们最近的数据显示,内部持有弘业期货有限公司不到1%的股份。但他们可能通过一个我们尚未发现的公司结构间接持有利益。这是一家相当大的公司,董事会成员可能拥有公司中的重大利益,而并不拥有相应的股权。在这种情况下,他们拥有价值约980万港元的股份(按当前价格计算)。看到至少有一些内部持股总是令人鼓舞的,但值得注意的是这些内部股东是否一直在抛售。

General Public Ownership

一般大众所有权

The general public, who are usually individual investors, hold a 33% stake in Holly Futures. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

普通公众,通常是个人投资者,持有弘业期货33%的股份。尽管这一持股规模相当可观,但如果决策与其他大股东不一致,可能不足以改变公司政策。

Private Company Ownership

私有公司的所有权

It seems that Private Companies own 46%, of the Holly Futures stock. It might be worth looking deeper into this. If related parties, such as insiders, have an interest in one of these private companies, that should be disclosed in the annual report. Private companies may also have a strategic interest in the company.

弘业期货股份46%由私人公司持有。可能值得进一步深入了解。如果关联方(例如内部人士)对其中一家私人公司有兴趣,这应在年度报告中披露。私人公司可能也对该公司有战略兴趣。

Public Company Ownership

上市公司所有权

Public companies currently own 15% of Holly Futures stock. This may be a strategic interest and the two companies may have related business interests. It could be that they have de-merged. This holding is probably worth investigating further.

公开公司目前持有弘业期货股份的15%。这可能是一种战略兴趣,两家公司可能有相关的业务兴趣。有可能它们已经完成了分拆。这个持股可能值得进一步调查。

Next Steps:

下一步:

I find it very interesting to look at who exactly owns a company. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Holly Futures (at least 2 which don't sit too well with us) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

我发现了解一家公司究竟由谁拥有非常有趣。但要真正获得洞察力,我们也需要考虑其他信息。比如,投资风险这个不断存在的威胁。我们已经发现了3个警示信号(至少有2个与我们不太吻合),理解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

Of course this may not be the best stock to buy. Therefore, you may wish to see our free collection of interesting prospects boasting favorable financials.

当然,这也可能不是最好的股票交易。因此,您可能想看看我们免费的潜力股票收藏,这些股票具有有利的财务状况。

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

注:本文中的数据是使用最后一个财务报表日期结束的为期12个月的数据计算的。这可能与全年年度报告数据不一致。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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