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Quiver Morning Markets Wrap: Stocks Fall

Quiver Morning Markets Wrap: Stocks Fall

Quiver晨市概況:股票下跌
Quiver Quantitative ·  10/10 12:28

Wall Street stocks declined on Thursday as hotter-than-expected inflation data for September cast doubt on the Federal Reserve's trajectory for future rate cuts. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.2% on a monthly basis and 2.4% year-over-year, exceeding economists' expectations. Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, also came in higher at 3.3%. This reinforced traders' bets on a 25-basis-point rate hike (TLT) in November, sending major indexes into the red at market open.

週四,隨着9月份的通脹數據高於預期,華爾街股市下跌,對於聯儲局未來減息路徑產生了懷疑。消費者價格指數(CPI)按月上漲0.2%,按年增長2.4%,超出經濟學家的預期。核心CPI排除了波動較大的食品和能源價格,也以3.3%的較高水平報出。這加強了交易員對11月份進行25個點子利率上調的押注(TLT),在市場開盤時將主要指數拉入下跌。

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) fell by 0.18%, while the S&P 500 (SPY) and Nasdaq (QQQ) dropped by 0.27% and 0.38%, respectively. Rate-sensitive sectors such as Real Estate and Information Technology were particularly hit, with real estate stocks falling 0.6% and tech stocks down 0.5%. Weekly jobless claims also surged, adding to market confusion about the Fed's path forward. Initial claims rose to 258,000, much higher than the anticipated 230,000, complicating the broader economic outlook.

道瓊斯指數(DIA)下跌了0.18%,標普500指數(SPY)和納斯達克指數(QQQ)分別下跌了0.27%和0.38%。房地產和信息科技這樣的利率敏感行業受到了特別重創,房地產股下跌了0.6%,科技股下跌了0.5%。周初失業金融索賠也激增,給市場有關聯儲局未來路徑的困惑增加了新的不確定性。首次申領失業救濟金上升至258,000,遠高於預期的230,000,令更加混亂的經濟前景變得更加複雜。

Market Overview:

市場概況:

  • September CPI data came in hotter than expected, reinforcing bets on a November rate hike.
  • Weekly jobless claims jumped to 258,000, missing estimates and adding market uncertainty.
  • The Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all posted losses, with rate-sensitive sectors leading declines.
  • 9月CPI數據凸顯高於預期,強化了對11月份利率上調的押注。
  • 每週失業金索賠躍升至258,000,低於預期,並增加了市場的不確定性。
  • 道瓊斯指數,標普500指數和納斯達克指數都錄得了損失,利率敏感行業領跌。

Key Points:
主要觀點:

  • Investors are concerned about the Fed's ability to deliver expected rate cuts amid inflation and labor market data.
  • Delta Air Lines shares dropped 2.1% after missing revenue expectations, dragging down the airline sector.
  • Fed officials are expected to give further remarks later in the day, as markets await clarity on policy direction.
  • 投資者對於聯儲局在通脹和勞動市場數據之中交差的能力感到擔憂,無法如預期地提供減息。
  • 達美航空股價下跌2.1%,營收不及預期,拖累航空公司板塊。
  • 預計聯儲局官員將在當天晚些時候發表進一步講話,市場期待政策方向明朗。

Looking Ahead:
展望未來:

  • Traders will closely monitor third-quarter earnings, with major banks set to report results soon.
  • Fed policy and upcoming economic data remain central to market movements and investor sentiment.
  • With inflation running hotter than anticipated, the path forward for monetary easing looks increasingly uncertain.
  • 交易員將密切關注第三季度收益,主要銀行即將披露業績。
  • 聯儲局政策和即將公佈的經濟數據仍然是市場運動和投資者情緒的核心。
  • 隨着通脹率高於預期,貨幣寬鬆的前景變得越來越不確定。

Delta Air Lines (DAL) was among the key laggards, falling 2.1% after missing third-quarter revenue estimates and warning of slower travel demand. Other airlines followed suit, with United Airlines (UAL), American Airlines (AAL), and Southwest Airlines (LUV) also posting losses. While inflation remains the central issue driving market sentiment, rising jobless claims are complicating the economic picture, raising questions about the strength of the labor market and the Fed's next move.

達美航空股票(DAL) 是主要表現不佳的股票之一,因第三季度營收低於預期並警告旅行需求放緩而下跌了2.1%。其他航空公司紛紛效仿,聯合航空(UAL),美國航空(AAL) 和西南航空(LUV) 也出現虧損。儘管通脹仍然是推動市場情緒的關鍵問題,不斷升高的失業申領正在複雜化經濟形勢,引發對勞動力市場實力和聯儲局下一步行動的質疑。

As third-quarter earnings season begins, investors will look to key corporate reports for signs of economic resilience amid the challenging macro backdrop. With expectations of a 25-basis-point rate hike growing, markets will remain sensitive to incoming data, particularly as Fed officials continue to make public remarks. Equity markets may continue to face pressure until a clearer picture of the Fed's rate path emerges.

隨着第三季度業績季開始,投資者將尋求主要公司報告中的經濟韌性跡象,抵禦具有挑戰性的宏觀背景。 隨着人們對25個基礎點升息預期增長,市場將繼續對即將到來的數據保持敏感,特別是在聯儲局官員繼續發表公開講話的情況下。股票市場可能會繼續面臨壓力,直到更清晰地看到聯儲局的利率路徑爲止。

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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