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Serbian Parliament Doesn't Pass Lithium Ban, Keeps Rio Tinto's Major Project Alive

Serbian Parliament Doesn't Pass Lithium Ban, Keeps Rio Tinto's Major Project Alive

塞爾維亞議會未通過禁止鋰礦法案,使得力拓的重要項目得以繼續進行
Benzinga ·  10/11 07:55

The Serbian parliament didn't accept the opposition's proposal to modify the country's mining law to ban the exploration and exploitation of lithium and boron. Such a decision would have ended Rio Tinto's (NYSE:RIO) multi-billion dollar Jadar project.

塞爾維亞議會沒有接受反對派提出的修改該國採礦法以禁止勘探和開採鋰和硼的提議。這樣的決定將結束力拓(紐約證券交易所代碼:RIO)數十億美元的Jadar項目。

After a four-day discussion, the 214 members voted as follows: 84 voted yes, 128 voted no, two didn't vote.

經過四天的討論,214名成員投票如下:84人投了贊成票,128人投了反對票,2人沒有投票。

"Forbidding exploration and exploitation of lithium and other mineral goods would create ripple effects, not only in Serbian economy but in its geopolitical positioning, "said Minister of Mining and Energy Dubravka Dedovic Handanovic, per Slobodna Evropa's report.

根據Slobodna Evropa的報告,礦業和能源部長杜布拉夫卡·德多維奇·漢達諾維奇說:「禁止勘探和開採鋰和其他礦物產品將產生連鎖反應,不僅對塞爾維亞經濟,而且會對其地緣政治定位產生連鎖反應。」

The Jadar deposit, discovered in 2004, is one of the largest lithium deposits in the world. According to estimates, it contains 118 million tons of ore grading 1.8% lithium oxide in mineral form.

賈達爾礦牀發現於2004年,是世界上最大的鋰礦牀之一。據估計,它含有11800萬噸礦石,礦物形態的氧化鋰品位爲1.8%。

However, its unique mineral form also creates issues for extraction technology, making the latest direct lithium extraction (DLE) advancements inapplicable.

但是,其獨特的礦物形式也給提取技術帶來了問題,使得最新的直接鋰提取(DLE)進展不適用。

Faced with large environmental protests, the government revoked licenses in January 2022 before reinstating them earlier this year. Still, environmentalists' backlash remains despite Rio Tinto's guarantees that the project will be subject to stringent environmental requirements and compliant with Serbian and EU regulations.

面對大規模的環境抗議活動,政府於2022年1月吊銷了許可證,然後在今年早些時候恢復了許可證。儘管力拓保證該項目將遵守嚴格的環境要求並符合塞爾維亞和歐盟的法規,但環保主義者的強烈反對仍然存在。

Even if everything goes right, mines take time to develop, and it is unlikely Rio Tinto will start production in Serbia before 2028. Thus, its latest acquisition of Arcadium (NYSE:ALTM) makes sense.

即使一切順利,礦山的開發也需要時間,而且力拓不太可能在2028年之前在塞爾維亞開始生產。因此,它最近對Arcadium(紐約證券交易所代碼:ALTM)的收購是有道理的。

Arcadium has a global operation spanning five continents. It has lithium assets in Australia and Argentina, alongside downstream conversion assets in the U.S., China, Japan, and the U.K.

Arcadium 的業務遍及五大洲。它在澳大利亞和阿根廷擁有鋰資產,在美國、中國、日本和英國擁有下游轉換資產。

Geographical diversity aligns with Rio Tinto's global orientation, giving it a presence in Argentina—a rapidly growing lithium market—while also strengthening its domestic assets. Furthermore, with Rio Tinto's technical expertise, Arcadium's 75,000-ton production capacity could grow as much as 130% by 2028.

地域多樣性符合力拓的全球定位,使其在快速增長的鋰市場阿根廷佔有一席之地,同時也增強了其國內資產。此外,憑藉力拓的技術專長,到2028年,Arcadium的7.5萬噸產能可能增長多達130%。

Meanwhile, initial production estimates placed Serbia's Jadar at 58,000 tons. Thus, a 90% premium to market cap with $6.7 billion in cash for Ardacium's assets and technology seemed like a good bet, especially given its enterprise value of $10.6 billion at the time of its creation and the lithium's current price, which is over 80% off its 2022 highs.

同時,最初的產量估計顯示,塞爾維亞的賈達爾爲58,000噸。因此,Ardacium資產和技術的市值溢價90%,現金爲67億美元,這似乎是一個不錯的選擇,特別是考慮到其創建時的企業價值爲106億美元,而鋰的當前價格比2022年高點低80%以上。

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