Despite an already strong run, Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002256) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 41% in the last thirty days. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 2.6% isn't as impressive.
Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 13.9x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
How Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy Has Been Performing
The revenue growth achieved at Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy?
Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.7%. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 19% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 21% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy that you need to take into consideration.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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