CCCG Real Estate Company Limited (SZSE:000736) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 49% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 7.1% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, CCCG Real Estate may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.8x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
How CCCG Real Estate Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at CCCG Real Estate over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on CCCG Real Estate's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as CCCG Real Estate's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.0%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 191% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 11% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's peculiar that CCCG Real Estate's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift CCCG Real Estate's P/S close to the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We're very surprised to see CCCG Real Estate currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. Potential investors that are sceptical over continued revenue performance may be preventing the P/S ratio from matching previous strong performance. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to perceive a likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with CCCG Real Estate (at least 2 which are a bit concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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