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Shanghai Belling Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600171) 32% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 12 20:00

Shanghai Belling Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600171) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 32% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 69%.

Following the firm bounce in price, Shanghai Belling may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor in China have P/S ratios under 6.1x and even P/S lower than 3x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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SHSE:600171 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 13th 2024

What Does Shanghai Belling's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

The revenue growth achieved at Shanghai Belling over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Belling, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanghai Belling?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shanghai Belling would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 20% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 31% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 37% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Shanghai Belling's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Shanghai Belling's P/S

Shanghai Belling's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

The fact that Shanghai Belling currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Belling (including 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable).

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Belling, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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