Here's Why Hunan Aihua Group (SHSE:603989) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Here's Why Hunan Aihua Group (SHSE:603989) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Hunan Aihua Group Co., Ltd (SHSE:603989) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
霍華德·馬克斯說得很好,與其擔心股價波動,'我擔心的是永久性損失的可能性...我認識的每一個務實的投資者都在擔心這個問題。' 當我們考慮一家公司有多大風險時,我們總是喜歡看它的債務使用情況,因爲債務過重可能導致破產。與許多其他公司一樣,湖南艾華集團股份有限公司(SHSE:603989)也利用了債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務產生了多大風險?
When Is Debt A Problem?
什麼時候負債才是一個問題?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
一般來說,只有當公司無法輕鬆償還債務時,債務才成爲真正的問題,無論是通過增資或利用自身現金流。在最糟糕的情況下,如果公司無法償還債權人,公司可能會破產。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東權益,以簡單地控制債務。話雖如此,最常見的情況是公司合理管理債務,從而爲自己謀利。在考慮企業的債務使用量時,首先要做的是查看其現金和債務情況。
How Much Debt Does Hunan Aihua Group Carry?
湖南艾華集團承擔了多少債務?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Hunan Aihua Group had CN¥324.0m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥684.8m, one year before. However, it does have CN¥1.05b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥725.1m.
您可以點擊下面的圖表查看歷史數據,但它顯示湖南艾華集團於2024年6月的債務爲32400萬人民幣,較一年前的68480萬人民幣有所減少。然而,它擁有105億人民幣的現金來抵消這一數字,導致淨現金爲72510萬人民幣。

How Strong Is Hunan Aihua Group's Balance Sheet?
湖南艾華集團的資產負債表有多強?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hunan Aihua Group had liabilities of CN¥1.87b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥122.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.05b in cash and CN¥1.80b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it actually has CN¥860.2m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
從最近的資產負債表可以看出,湖南艾華集團有約18.7億人民幣的短期到期負債,以及約1.223億元的長期到期負債。與此相抵,它有10.5億人民幣的現金和18億元的應收賬款在12個月內到期。因此,它實際上比總負債多大約86020萬元的流動資產。
This excess liquidity suggests that Hunan Aihua Group is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Hunan Aihua Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
這種過剩的流動性表明湖南艾華集團對債務採取了謹慎的態度。由於它擁有大量資產,它不太可能與貸款人發生問題。簡單地說,湖南艾華集團擁有更多現金而非債務,這可以認爲是能夠安全管理債務的很好跡象。
It is just as well that Hunan Aihua Group's load is not too heavy, because its EBIT was down 31% over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hunan Aihua Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
幸好湖南艾華集團的負擔並不太重,因爲過去一年其EBIt減少了31%。收益下降(如果持續下去)最終可能使即使是適度的債務變得相當風險。毫無疑問,我們對債務的了解大部分來自資產負債表。但最終,業務未來的盈利能力將決定湖南艾華集團是否能夠隨時間加強其資產負債表。因此,如果你關注未來,可以查看這份顯示分析師利潤預測的免費報告。
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Hunan Aihua Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. In the last three years, Hunan Aihua Group created free cash flow amounting to 2.1% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
但我們最終考慮的也很重要,因爲公司無法用紙面利潤償還債務;它需要冷硬現金。湖南艾華集團可能在資產負債表上有淨現金,但看看企業如何將利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流也很有趣,因爲這將影響到它需求和管理債務的能力。在過去的三年裏,湖南艾華集團創造的自由現金流相當於其EBIt的2.1%,表現令人沮喪。對我們來說,這種現金轉化率的下降使我們對其熄滅債務的能力有些擔憂。
Summing Up
總之
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Hunan Aihua Group has CN¥725.1m in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. So we are not troubled with Hunan Aihua Group's debt use. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hunan Aihua Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
儘管調查公司的負債情況總是明智的做法,但在這種情況下,湖南艾華集團的淨現金爲72510萬人民幣,資產負債表看起來不錯。所以我們對湖南艾華集團的債務使用並不擔憂。當分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表之外的風險。我們已經識別出湖南艾華集團的2個警示信號,理解它們應該成爲您投資流程的一部分。
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
當然,如果您是那種喜歡購買沒有債務負擔的股票的投資者,那麼不要猶豫,立即發現我們獨家的淨現金增長股票列表。
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