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Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Shandong Longji MachineryLtd's (SZSE:002363) For Its Upcoming Dividend

Here's Why We're Wary Of Buying Shandong Longji MachineryLtd's (SZSE:002363) For Its Upcoming Dividend

这就是为什么我们对购买山东龙机机械有限公司(SZSE:002363)即将发放的股息持谨慎态度
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/14 15:57

Readers hoping to buy Shandong Longji Machinery Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002363) for its dividend will need to make their move shortly, as the stock is about to trade ex-dividend. The ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date, which is the cut-off date for shareholders to be present on the company's books to be eligible for a dividend payment. The ex-dividend date is important as the process of settlement involves two full business days. So if you miss that date, you would not show up on the company's books on the record date. In other words, investors can purchase Shandong Longji MachineryLtd's shares before the 18th of October in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 18th of October.

希望购买山东隆基机械股份有限公司(SZSE:002363)以获取其分红的投资者需要尽快采取行动,因为该股即将进行卖出交易。 这个卖出交易日期比登记日期早一天,也就是股东被列入公司账本以有资格获得分红支付的截止日期。 卖出交易日期很重要,因为结算过程需要两个完整的工作日。 因此,如果您错过了该日期,您就不会在登记日期出现在公司账本上。 换句话说,投资者可以在10月18日前购买山东隆基机械的股票,以便有资格获得于10月18日支付的分红。

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.05 per share, on the back of last year when the company paid a total of CN¥0.08 to shareholders. Looking at the last 12 months of distributions, Shandong Longji MachineryLtd has a trailing yield of approximately 1.6% on its current stock price of CN¥6.35. Dividends are an important source of income to many shareholders, but the health of the business is crucial to maintaining those dividends. So we need to investigate whether Shandong Longji MachineryLtd can afford its dividend, and if the dividend could grow.

公司的下一个分红支付将是每股人民币0.05元,去年公司向股东支付了总计人民币0.08元。 查看过去12个月的分配情况,山东隆基机械在目前的人民币6.35元的股价上具有约1.6%的滚动收益率。 分红对许多股东来说是重要的收入来源,但业务的健康状况对维持这些分红至关重要。 因此,我们需要调查山东隆基机械是否能够支付其分红,以及分红是否能够增长。

Dividends are typically paid out of company income, so if a company pays out more than it earned, its dividend is usually at a higher risk of being cut. Shandong Longji MachineryLtd distributed an unsustainably high 131% of its profit as dividends to shareholders last year. Without extenuating circumstances, we'd consider the dividend at risk of a cut. Yet cash flows are even more important than profits for assessing a dividend, so we need to see if the company generated enough cash to pay its distribution. It paid out 16% of its free cash flow as dividends last year, which is conservatively low.

分红通常来源于公司收入,因此,如果公司支付的分红超过其盈利,其分红通常面临更高的风险被削减。 去年,山东隆基机械向股东支付了其利润的不可持续高达131%作为分红。 在没有特殊情况下,我们认为分红可能面临被削减的风险。 但是,现金流比利润对于评估分红更为重要,因此我们需要看看公司是否有足够的现金来支付其分配。 去年,它支付了其自由现金流的16%作为分红,这是相对较低的保守水平。

It's good to see that while Shandong Longji MachineryLtd's dividends were not covered by profits, at least they are affordable from a cash perspective. Still, if the company repeatedly paid a dividend greater than its profits, we'd be concerned. Extraordinarily few companies are capable of persistently paying a dividend that is greater than their profits.

看到山东隆基机械的分红无法被利润覆盖是好事,至少从现金角度来看是可负担的。 但是,如果公司反复支付高于其利润的分红,我们会感到担忧。 极少数公司能够持续支付高于其利润的分红。

Click here to see how much of its profit Shandong Longji MachineryLtd paid out over the last 12 months.

点击这里查看山东隆基机械有限公司在过去12个月内支付了多少利润。

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SZSE:002363 Historic Dividend October 14th 2024
SZSE:002363 历史分红 民国13年10月14日

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

收益和股息一直在增长吗?

Businesses with shrinking earnings are tricky from a dividend perspective. Investors love dividends, so if earnings fall and the dividend is reduced, expect a stock to be sold off heavily at the same time. With that in mind, we're discomforted by Shandong Longji MachineryLtd's 13% per annum decline in earnings in the past five years. When earnings per share fall, the maximum amount of dividends that can be paid also falls.

从股息角度看,企业盈利萎缩是棘手的。投资者喜欢分红,因此如果盈利下降且分红减少,预期股票会同时大幅抛售。考虑到这一点,我们对山东隆基机械有限公司过去五年中盈利年均下降13%感到不安。当每股盈利下跌时,可以支付的分红最大金额也会下降。

The main way most investors will assess a company's dividend prospects is by checking the historical rate of dividend growth. In the last 10 years, Shandong Longji MachineryLtd has lifted its dividend by approximately 7.2% a year on average. That's intriguing, but the combination of growing dividends despite declining earnings can typically only be achieved by paying out a larger percentage of profits. Shandong Longji MachineryLtd is already paying out a high percentage of its income, so without earnings growth, we're doubtful of whether this dividend will grow much in the future.

大多数投资者评估公司的分红前景的主要方式是检查分红增长的历史速度。在过去的10年中,山东隆基机械有限公司的分红平均每年增长约7.2%。这很有趣,但尽管盈利下降,分红仍在增长通常只能通过支付更大比例的利润来实现。山东隆基机械有限公司已经支付了收入的很高比例,所以在没有盈利增长的情况下,我们对这一分红未来是否会大幅增长感到怀疑。

To Sum It Up

总结一下

Has Shandong Longji MachineryLtd got what it takes to maintain its dividend payments? It's never great to see earnings per share declining, especially when a company is paying out 131% of its profit as dividends, which we feel is uncomfortably high. Yet cashflow was much stronger, which makes us wonder if there are some large timing issues in Shandong Longji MachineryLtd's cash flows, or perhaps the company has written down some assets aggressively, reducing its income. It's not that we think Shandong Longji MachineryLtd is a bad company, but these characteristics don't generally lead to outstanding dividend performance.

隆基机械有能力维持其分红支付吗?当每股收益下降时,尤其是当公司将其利润的131%作为分红支付时,这种情况并不理想,我们认为这个比例过高。然而,现金流量要强得多,这让我们想知道隆基机械的现金流量中是否存在一些较大的时间问题,或者公司是否激进地减少了部分资产,并减少了其收入。我们并不认为隆基机械是一家糟糕的公司,但这些特征通常不会带来出色的分红表现。

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Shandong Longji MachineryLtd. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Shandong Longji MachineryLtd (1 is concerning) you should be aware of.

即使如此,如果您看待这家股票时并不太关注分红,您仍应该了解涉及到隆基机械的风险。例如,我们已经发现了2个隆基机械的警示信号(其中1个令人担忧),您应该注意。

Generally, we wouldn't recommend just buying the first dividend stock you see. Here's a curated list of interesting stocks that are strong dividend payers.

一般来说,我们不建议仅仅购买第一个股息股票。下面是一个经过策划的有趣的、股息表现良好的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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