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Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600053) 34% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 15 06:06

Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600053) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 34% share price jump in the last month. Looking further back, the 22% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 23.8x, considering almost half the companies in China's Capital Markets industry have P/S ratios below 7.2x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

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SHSE:600053 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 14th 2024

What Does Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

For example, consider that Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 18%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 5.5% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings' P/S?

The strong share price surge has lead to Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings' P/S soaring as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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