Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (HKG:1349) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 51% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 3.9% isn't as attractive.
Following the firm bounce in price, Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-PharmaceuticalLtd may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 22.7x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios under 9x and even P/E's lower than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
For example, consider that Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-PharmaceuticalLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-PharmaceuticalLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-PharmaceuticalLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 55%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 45% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 22% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-PharmaceuticalLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-PharmaceuticalLtd's P/E?
Shares in Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-PharmaceuticalLtd have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-PharmaceuticalLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Plus, you should also learn about these 3 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-PharmaceuticalLtd (including 1 which is a bit concerning).
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shanghai Fudan-Zhangjiang Bio-PharmaceuticalLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.