China West Construction Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:002302) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 33% gain in the last month alone. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 5.8% isn't as impressive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, China West Construction Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 18.9x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 61x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, China West Construction Group has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for China West Construction Group, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Growth For China West Construction Group?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as China West Construction Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 58% gain to the company's bottom line. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 43% drop in EPS in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 37% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's understandable that China West Construction Group's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. There's potential for the P/E to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its profitability.
The Key Takeaway
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift China West Construction Group's P/E close to the market median. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of China West Construction Group revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term are contributing to its low P/E, given the market is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for China West Construction Group (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.