Jiangxi Chenguang New Materials Company Limited (SHSE:605399) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 33% after a shaky period beforehand. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 8.9% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.1x, you may consider Jiangxi Chenguang New Materials as a stock probably not worth researching with its 3.5x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
What Does Jiangxi Chenguang New Materials' Recent Performance Look Like?
Jiangxi Chenguang New Materials could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Jiangxi Chenguang New Materials.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as Jiangxi Chenguang New Materials' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 17%. Regardless, revenue has managed to lift by a handy 9.6% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the only analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 33% over the next year. With the industry only predicted to deliver 21%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Jiangxi Chenguang New Materials' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What Does Jiangxi Chenguang New Materials' P/S Mean For Investors?
Jiangxi Chenguang New Materials' P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Jiangxi Chenguang New Materials' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Jiangxi Chenguang New Materials has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.