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Is Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600519) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

Is Kweichow Moutai Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600519) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

貴州茅台股份有限公司(SHSE:600519)的最近股票表現是否受到其強勁基本面的影響?
Simply Wall St ·  10/14 18:39

Kweichow Moutai (SHSE:600519) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 23% over the last month. Given that the market rewards strong financials in the long-term, we wonder if that is the case in this instance. In this article, we decided to focus on Kweichow Moutai's ROE.

貴州茅台(SHSE:600519)在股市上表現出色,股價在過去一個月內大漲23%。考慮到市場長期獎勵強勁的財務表現,我們想知道在這種情況下是否也是如此。在本文中,我們決定聚焦貴州茅台的roe。

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

ROE(淨資產收益率)是股東需考慮的一個重要因素,因爲它告訴他們資本被有效地再投資的效果如何。換句話說,它揭示了公司將股東的投資轉化爲利潤的成功程度。

How Is ROE Calculated?

淨資產收益率怎麼計算?

The formula for ROE is:

roe的公式是:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

淨資產收益率 = 淨利潤(從持續經營中獲得)÷ 股東權益

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Kweichow Moutai is:

因此,根據上述公式,貴州茅台的ROE爲:

37% = CN¥83b ÷ CN¥228b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

37% = 830億人民幣 ÷ 2280億人民幣(基於截至2024年6月的過去十二個月)。

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.37.

「回報率」是過去十二個月的利潤。因此,這意味着每份股東投資的1人民幣,公司可以獲利0.37人民幣。

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

ROE與盈利增長之間的關係是什麼?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

到目前爲止,我們已經學到 ROE(淨資產收益率)可以衡量公司盈利的效率。具體取決於公司再投資或「保留」多少這些利潤,以及其有效程度,我們便能夠評估公司的盈利增長潛力。假設其他條件相同,ROE和利潤保留率都較高的公司通常比不具備這些特徵的公司增長率更高。

Kweichow Moutai's Earnings Growth And 37% ROE

貴州茅台的盈利增長和37%的roe

To begin with, Kweichow Moutai has a pretty high ROE which is interesting. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 17% which is quite remarkable. This probably laid the groundwork for Kweichow Moutai's moderate 15% net income growth seen over the past five years.

首先,貴州茅台的roe相當高,這很有趣。此外,公司的roe比行業平均水平高出17%,這相當引人注目。這可能爲貴州茅台過去五年中適度的15%淨利潤增長奠定了基礎。

As a next step, we compared Kweichow Moutai's net income growth with the industry and found that the company has a similar growth figure when compared with the industry average growth rate of 15% in the same period.

作爲下一步,我們將貴州茅台的淨利潤增長與行業進行了比較,發現該公司與行業相比,淨利潤增長速度相當,同期行業平均增長率爲15%。

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SHSE:600519 Past Earnings Growth October 14th 2024
SHSE:600519過去盈利增長2024年10月14日

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 600519? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

盈利增長是股票估值中的一個重要因素。投資者應該努力確定預期盈利增長或下降是否已經反映在股價中。這樣做將有助於他們判斷股票的未來是看漲還是看跌。市場是否已經爲貴州茅台的未來展望定價?您可以在我們的最新內在價值信息圖研究報告中找到答案。

Is Kweichow Moutai Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

貴州茅台是否有效利用其利潤?

Kweichow Moutai has a healthy combination of a moderate three-year median payout ratio of 49% (or a retention ratio of 51%) and a respectable amount of growth in earnings as we saw above, meaning that the company has been making efficient use of its profits.

此外,貴州茅台具有適中的三年中位數支付比率爲49%(或保留比率爲51%)和上述可觀盈利增長的健康組合,這意味着公司一直在有效利用其利潤。

Additionally, Kweichow Moutai has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Upon studying the latest analysts' consensus data, we found that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 60% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.

此外,貴州茅台在至少十年的時間內支付了股息,這意味着公司非常重視與股東分享利潤。在研究了最新的分析師一致預測數據後,我們發現公司未來的支付比率預計將在未來三年內上升到60%。無論如何,儘管預期的支付比率較高,ROE預計對該公司的變化不大。

Conclusion

結論

In total, we are pretty happy with Kweichow Moutai's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. With that said, the latest industry analyst forecasts reveal that the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

總體而言,我們對貴州茅台的表現相當滿意。特別是,我們喜歡該公司大量投資於業務,且回報率較高。毫不奇怪,這導致了令人印象深刻的盈利增長。話雖如此,最新的行業分析師預測顯示,公司的盈利增長預計將放緩。要了解更多關於該公司的最新分析師預測,請查看該公司的分析師預測可視化。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

對本文有任何反饋?對內容有任何疑慮?請直接與我們聯繫。或者,發送電子郵件至editorial-team@simplywallst.com。
這篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我們根據歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,只使用公正的方法論,我們的文章並不意味着提供任何金融建議。文章不構成買賣任何股票的建議,也不考慮您的目標或您的財務狀況。我們的目標是帶給您基本數據驅動的長期關注分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St沒有任何股票頭寸。

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