When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Tecnoglass Inc. (NYSE:TGLS) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 24.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Tecnoglass as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Tecnoglass will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
How Is Tecnoglass' Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Tecnoglass' to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 27%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 172% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 14% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's understandable that Tecnoglass' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Tecnoglass maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Tecnoglass with six simple checks.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Tecnoglass. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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