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Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600850) A Risky Investment?

Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd (SHSE:600850) A Risky Investment?

CETC数字技术有限公司(SHSE:600850)是一项风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  10/15 18:54

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies CETC Digital Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600850) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

当David Iben说'波动性不是我们关心的风险。我们关心的是避免资本的永久损失。',他说得很好。因此,看起来明智的投资者知道,在评估公司风险时,债务是一个非常重要的因素,因为债务通常涉及破产。与许多其他公司一样,电科数字科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600850)利用债务。但是这笔债务对股东构成了担忧吗?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

一般来说,仅当一家公司无法轻松进行还款时,才会真正面临债务问题,即无法通过筹集资本或自有现金流来还款。企业失败会被残酷地清算,这也是资本主义中“创造性毁灭”的常态。然而,更常见的(但仍然痛苦的)情况是,公司必须以低价募集新的股权资本,从而永久稀释股东的权益。当然,有许多公司使用债务来资助增长,并没有产生任何负面后果。因此,在考虑企业使用多少债务时,首先要看现金和债务。

What Is CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's Debt?

CETC数字科技有限公司的债务是多少?

As you can see below, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd had CN¥114.0m of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥241.8m a year prior. However, it does have CN¥847.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥733.0m.

如下所示,截至2024年6月,CETC Digital TechnologyLtd的债务为1.14亿元人民币,低于前一年的2.418亿元人民币。然而,它确实有8.47亿元人民币的现金抵消这笔债务,导致净现金达到7.33亿元人民币。

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SHSE:600850 Debt to Equity History October 15th 2024
SHSE:600850债务与股东权益历史记录2024年10月15日

A Look At CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's Liabilities

电科数字有限公司负债情况一览

The latest balance sheet data shows that CETC Digital TechnologyLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.12b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥444.9m falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥847.0m in cash and CN¥2.98b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥1.74b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新的资产负债表数据显示,电科数字有限公司短期负债为51.2亿人民币,长期负债为44490万人民币。与此相抵,公司拥有84700万人民币的现金和29.8亿人民币的应收账款,在未来12个月内到期。因此,公司的负债总额比其现金和短期应收账款合计多出17.4亿人民币。

Of course, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥14.3b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward. While it does have liabilities worth noting, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely.

当然,电科数字有限公司的市值为143亿人民币,所以这些负债可能是可以管理的。但是公司的负债仍然相当可观,我们强烈建议股东继续关注资产负债表的变化。虽然公司确实有值得注意的负债,但电科数字有限公司的现金要比债务多,所以我们相当有信心它能够安全管理债务。

While CETC Digital TechnologyLtd doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

尽管电科数字有限公司在息税前利润(EBIt)上没有取得太多收益,至少收入目前仍然稳定。毫无疑问,我们最多从资产负债表上了解到债务的情况。但更重要的是,未来的收益,而非其他任何事情,将决定电科数字有限公司未来维持健康资产负债表的能力。所以如果您关注未来,可以查看这份显示分析师利润预测的免费报告。

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. CETC Digital TechnologyLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, CETC Digital TechnologyLtd reported free cash flow worth 18% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

但我们最终的考虑也很重要,因为一家公司无法用纸上利润偿还债务;它需要真金白银。电科数字有限公司的资产负债表上可能有净现金,但查看业务如何将息税前利润(EBIT)转化为自由现金流仍然很有趣,因为这将影响其对管理债务的需求和能力。在过去三年中,电科数字有限公司报告的自由现金流价值相当于其EBIt的18%,这实际上相当低。对我们来说,现金转换率如此之低引发了一些对其还债能力的疑虑。

Summing Up

总之

While CETC Digital TechnologyLtd does have more liabilities than liquid assets, it also has net cash of CN¥733.0m. So we are not troubled with CETC Digital TechnologyLtd's debt use. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 1 warning sign with CETC Digital TechnologyLtd , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

虽然电科数字科技有比流动资产更多的负债,但它也拥有人民币73300万的净现金。所以我们对于电科数字科技的债务使用并不担忧。在分析债务时,资产负债表显然是需要关注的领域。但最终,每家公司都可能存在超出资产负债表范围的风险。我们已经发现了1个与电科数字科技有关的警告信号,了解这些风险应该是您投资过程的一部分。

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果您有兴趣投资能够在不负债的情况下增长利润的企业,请查看这份免费列表,其中列出了在资产负债表上拥有净现金的成长型企业。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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