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Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd (SZSE:000069 Shareholders Incur Further Losses as Stock Declines 17% This Week, Taking Five-year Losses to 58%

Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd (SZSE:000069 Shareholders Incur Further Losses as Stock Declines 17% This Week, Taking Five-year Losses to 58%

深圳华侨城集团股份有限公司(SZSE:000069)股东本周遭遇股价下跌17%,五年来累计损失达58%
Simply Wall St ·  2024/10/15 23:54

This month, we saw the Shenzhen Overseas Chinese Town Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000069) up an impressive 40%. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last half decade have been disappointing. In that time the share price has delivered a rude shock to holders, who find themselves down 63% after a long stretch. Some might say the recent bounce is to be expected after such a bad drop. Of course, this could be the start of a turnaround.

本月,我们看到华侨城a(SZSE:000069)的股价上涨了惊人的40%。但这并没有改变过去半个世纪的回报令人失望这一事实。在这段时间里,股价给持有人带来了一个沉重的打击,他们在经历了漫长的下行后,发现自己跌了63%。有人可能会说,在经历了如此大幅度的下跌后,最近的反弹是可以预料的。当然,这可能是一个扭转局面的开始。

After losing 17% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

在过去一周失去了17%之后,值得调查该公司的基本面,以了解我们可以从过去的表现中推断出什么。

Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

华侨城a在过去十二个月里没有盈利,我们不太可能看到其股价和每股收益(EPS)之间存在强烈的相关性。可以说,营业收入是我们下一个最佳选择。亏损公司的股东通常希望看到强劲的营业收入增长。一些公司为了更快增长营业收入,愿意推迟实现盈利,但在这种情况下,人们希望看到良好的营业额增长来弥补盈利的缺失。

In the last half decade, Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd saw its revenue increase by 3.1% per year. That's not a very high growth rate considering it doesn't make profits. It's likely this weak growth has contributed to an annualised return of 10% for the last five years. We'd want to see proof that future revenue growth is likely to be significantly stronger before getting too interested in Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd. However, it's possible too many in the market will ignore it, and there may be an opportunity if it starts to recover down the track.

在过去的半个世纪里,华侨城a的营业收入年均增长3.1%。考虑到它并没有盈利,这并不是一个非常高的增长率。很可能这种疲软的增长导致了过去五年每年10%的年化回报。在对华侨城a产生浓厚兴趣之前,我们希望看到未来营业收入增长有望显著增强的证据。然而,如果市场中太多人选择忽视它,那么可能会有机会,如果它开始在未来恢复正轨。

The image below shows how earnings and revenue have tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

下图显示了收益和营收随时间变化的情况(如果你点击图像,可以看到更多细节):

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SZSE:000069 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 16th 2024
SZSE:000069 2024年10月16日盈利和营业收入增长

If you are thinking of buying or selling Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

如果您考虑购买或出售华侨城a股票,您应该查看这份关于其资产负债表的免费详细报告。

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

那么,股东总回报(TSR)呢?

We've already covered Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd's share price action, but we should also mention its total shareholder return (TSR). Arguably the TSR is a more complete return calculation because it accounts for the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested), along with the hypothetical value of any discounted capital that have been offered to shareholders. Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd's TSR of was a loss of 58% for the 5 years. That wasn't as bad as its share price return, because it has paid dividends.

我们已经介绍了华侨城a的股价走势,但我们也应该提到其总股东回报(TSR)。可以说TSR是一种更完整的回报计算,因为它考虑了分红的价值(就好像它们被再投资了),以及向股东提供的任何贴现资本的假设价值。 华侨城a的TSR在5年内亏损了58%。那并不像其股价回报那样糟糕,因为它支付了股息。

A Different Perspective

不同的观点

Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd shareholders are down 32% for the year, but the market itself is up 0.4%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 10% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Overseas Chinese TownLtd you should be aware of.

华侨城a的股东今年亏损了32%,但市场本身上升了0.4%。 但请记住,即使是最好的股票有时也会在十二个月的时间内表现不佳。 不幸的是,去年的表现可能表明仍有未解决的挑战,因为它比过去半个十年的年化亏损10%还糟糕。 我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过投资者应该"在街上有血的时候买入",但我们警告投资者首先应确保他们正在购买的是一家高质量的企业。虽然会考虑市场状况对股价可能产生的不同影响非常值得,但有其他更重要的因素。 举个例子:我们发现了华侨城a存在1个警告信号,您应该知道。

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of undervalued companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

对于那些喜欢寻找获胜投资的人来说,最近有内部购买的低估公司免费列表可能是一个很好的选择。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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