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China Western Power Industrial Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002630) Share Price Boosted 38% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 17 06:25

Despite an already strong run, China Western Power Industrial Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002630) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 38% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 40% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, China Western Power Industrial may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x, considering almost half of all companies in the Machinery industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.6x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

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SZSE:002630 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 16th 2024

What Does China Western Power Industrial's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, China Western Power Industrial has been doing very well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S ratio. Those who are bullish on China Western Power Industrial will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Western Power Industrial's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, China Western Power Industrial would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 138% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 64% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

With this information, we can see why China Western Power Industrial is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Bottom Line On China Western Power Industrial's P/S

China Western Power Industrial's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of China Western Power Industrial confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - China Western Power Industrial has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of China Western Power Industrial's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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