Jiangxi Firstar Panel Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300256) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 49% gain in the last month alone. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 11% is also fairly reasonable.
Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.9x, you may consider Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd as a stock to avoid entirely with its 9.6x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
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What Does Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The revenue growth achieved at Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting this decent revenue performance to beat out the industry over the near term, which has kept the P/S propped up. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 21% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 84% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Shares in Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Jiangxi Firstar Panel TechnologyLtd that you need to take into consideration.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.