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China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings Limited (HKG:39) Shares May Have Slumped 28% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 17, 2024 18:14

China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings Limited (HKG:39) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 28% share price drop in the last month. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 24% share price drop.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.4x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Retail Distributors industry is similar at about 0.7x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SEHK:39 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 17th 2024

What Does China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 5.7% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 1.2% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 28% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What Does China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Investors?

Following China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you're unsure about the strength of China Beidahuang Industry Group Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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