The Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke Environmental Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002778) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 38%. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.
After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke EnvironmentalLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.2x, considering almost half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 2.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
SZSE:002778 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 17th 2024
How Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke EnvironmentalLtd Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke EnvironmentalLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke EnvironmentalLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke EnvironmentalLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 36%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 53% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 21% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke EnvironmentalLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke EnvironmentalLtd's P/S
Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke EnvironmentalLtd's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke EnvironmentalLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
Having said that, be aware Jiangsu Zhongsheng Gaoke EnvironmentalLtd is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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