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There's Reason For Concern Over Guangdong Huafeng New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:002806) Massive 33% Price Jump

広東華豊新エネルギーテクノロジー株式会社(SZSE:002806)の株価が33%急騰しているのは懸念すべき理由があります

Simply Wall St ·  10/18 18:16

Guangdong Huafeng New Energy Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002806) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 33% after a shaky period beforehand. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

Although its price has surged higher, there still wouldn't be many who think Guangdong Huafeng New Energy TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.5x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Electrical industry is similar at about 2.2x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SZSE:002806 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2024

How Guangdong Huafeng New Energy TechnologyLtd Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at Guangdong Huafeng New Energy TechnologyLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Guangdong Huafeng New Energy TechnologyLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Guangdong Huafeng New Energy TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Guangdong Huafeng New Energy TechnologyLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 26%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 50% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Guangdong Huafeng New Energy TechnologyLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What Does Guangdong Huafeng New Energy TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Guangdong Huafeng New Energy TechnologyLtd appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Guangdong Huafeng New Energy TechnologyLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Guangdong Huafeng New Energy TechnologyLtd you should be aware of, and 2 of them are significant.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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