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Aecc Aero Science and Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600391) Stock Catapults 27% Though Its Price And Business Still Lag The Industry

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 19, 2024 06:12

Aecc Aero Science and Technology Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600391) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 2.8% isn't as attractive.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Aecc Aero Science and TechnologyLtd may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.3x, since almost half of all companies in the Aerospace & Defense industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 7.7x and even P/S higher than 14x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

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SHSE:600391 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2024

What Does Aecc Aero Science and TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Aecc Aero Science and TechnologyLtd has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Aecc Aero Science and TechnologyLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Aecc Aero Science and TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 43% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 10% during the coming year according to the sole analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 40%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Aecc Aero Science and TechnologyLtd's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Key Takeaway

Even after such a strong price move, Aecc Aero Science and TechnologyLtd's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Aecc Aero Science and TechnologyLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Aecc Aero Science and TechnologyLtd (at least 1 which doesn't sit too well with us), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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