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Is Inspur Electronic Information Industry (SZSE:000977) A Risky Investment?

inspur electronic information industry(SZSE:000977)はリスキーな投資ですか?

Simply Wall St ·  10/18 18:09

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Inspur Electronic Information Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000977) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

How Much Debt Does Inspur Electronic Information Industry Carry?

As you can see below, Inspur Electronic Information Industry had CN¥15.6b of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CN¥8.94b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥6.67b.

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SZSE:000977 Debt to Equity History October 18th 2024

How Healthy Is Inspur Electronic Information Industry's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Inspur Electronic Information Industry had liabilities of CN¥36.9b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥7.46b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥8.94b as well as receivables valued at CN¥15.0b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥20.5b.

This deficit isn't so bad because Inspur Electronic Information Industry is worth CN¥63.9b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Inspur Electronic Information Industry's net debt is 3.6 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. But its EBIT was about 1k times its interest expense, implying the company isn't really paying a high cost to maintain that level of debt. Even were the low cost to prove unsustainable, that is a good sign. Pleasingly, Inspur Electronic Information Industry is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 164% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Inspur Electronic Information Industry's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Inspur Electronic Information Industry saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Inspur Electronic Information Industry's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. In particular, we are dazzled with its interest cover. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Inspur Electronic Information Industry's use of debt. While debt does have its upside in higher potential returns, we think shareholders should definitely consider how debt levels might make the stock more risky. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Inspur Electronic Information Industry, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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