Despite an already strong run, GEN-S POWER Group Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600753) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 32% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 24% in the last twelve months.
Following the firm bounce in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Trade Distributors industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may consider GEN-S POWER GroupLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
How GEN-S POWER GroupLtd Has Been Performing
The revenue growth achieved at GEN-S POWER GroupLtd over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on GEN-S POWER GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For GEN-S POWER GroupLtd?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, GEN-S POWER GroupLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 12% gain to the company's revenues. Ultimately though, it couldn't turn around the poor performance of the prior period, with revenue shrinking 54% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that GEN-S POWER GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Bottom Line On GEN-S POWER GroupLtd's P/S
GEN-S POWER GroupLtd's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that GEN-S POWER GroupLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for GEN-S POWER GroupLtd you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on GEN-S POWER GroupLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.