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Sichuan Xinjinlu Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000510) Soars 36% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 18 17:02

Sichuan Xinjinlu Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000510) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 36% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 17% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, considering around half the companies operating in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.1x, you may still consider Sichuan Xinjinlu Group as an solid investment opportunity with its 1.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

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SZSE:000510 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2024

How Sichuan Xinjinlu Group Has Been Performing

Sichuan Xinjinlu Group hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Sichuan Xinjinlu Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Sichuan Xinjinlu Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 15%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 14% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 31% as estimated by the sole analyst watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 21%, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Sichuan Xinjinlu Group's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Key Takeaway

Sichuan Xinjinlu Group's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Sichuan Xinjinlu Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Sichuan Xinjinlu Group that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Sichuan Xinjinlu Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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