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Shanghai Lonyer Data Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603003) Stock Rockets 46% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 19 00:24

Shanghai Lonyer Data Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603003) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 46% after a shaky period beforehand. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 43% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 31x, you may consider Shanghai Lonyer Data as a stock to potentially avoid with its 38.4x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Shanghai Lonyer Data has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this respectable earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

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SHSE:603003 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2024
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Lonyer Data, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Shanghai Lonyer Data?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Shanghai Lonyer Data's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 15% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all in aggregate from three years ago, which is not ideal. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shanghai Lonyer Data is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Shanghai Lonyer Data's P/E

Shanghai Lonyer Data shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

Our examination of Shanghai Lonyer Data revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Shanghai Lonyer Data that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shanghai Lonyer Data's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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