Zhejiang Walrus New Material Co., Ltd. (SZSE:003011) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 47% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 26% in the last twelve months.
Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Zhejiang Walrus New Material's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Building industry is similar at about 1.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
How Has Zhejiang Walrus New Material Performed Recently?
Zhejiang Walrus New Material could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.
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Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Zhejiang Walrus New Material?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Zhejiang Walrus New Material would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 27% decrease to the company's top line. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 7.7% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 30% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 21% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that Zhejiang Walrus New Material is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Zhejiang Walrus New Material's P/S?
Zhejiang Walrus New Material appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Zhejiang Walrus New Material currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Zhejiang Walrus New Material with six simple checks.
If you're unsure about the strength of Zhejiang Walrus New Material's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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