JW (Cayman) Therapeutics Co. Ltd (HKG:2126) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 31% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 15% in the last twelve months.
Although its price has surged higher, JW (Cayman) Therapeutics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.5x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 11.2x and even P/S above 55x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
What Does JW (Cayman) Therapeutics' Recent Performance Look Like?
JW (Cayman) Therapeutics could be doing better as it's been growing revenue less than most other companies lately. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on JW (Cayman) Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is JW (Cayman) Therapeutics' Revenue Growth Trending?
JW (Cayman) Therapeutics' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.3% last year. Although, the latest three year period in total hasn't been as good as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 58% per year during the coming three years according to the lone analyst following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 52% each year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it odd that JW (Cayman) Therapeutics is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
What We Can Learn From JW (Cayman) Therapeutics' P/S?
Even after such a strong price move, JW (Cayman) Therapeutics' P/S still trails the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
To us, it seems JW (Cayman) Therapeutics currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for JW (Cayman) Therapeutics (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.