We Think Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd (SZSE:300407) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
We Think Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd (SZSE:300407) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Tianjin Keyvia Electric Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300407) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
禾倫·巴菲特曾經說過:「波動性與風險遠非同義詞。」因此,看起來聰明的人知道,債務通常與破產有關,是評估公司風險性的一個非常重要因素。我們可以看到,天津凱發電氣股份有限公司(SZSE:300407)確實在業務中使用債務。但更重要的問題是:這筆債務會帶來多大的風險?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
債務帶來了什麼風險?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
債務和其他負債對業務而言會變得有風險,當公司無法輕鬆履行這些義務,無論是通過自由現金流還是以有吸引力的價格籌集資本。如果情況變得非常糟糕,放貸人可以接管企業。然而,更常見(但仍然昂貴)的情況是,一家公司必須以低廉的股價稀釋股東權益,僅僅爲了控制債務。當然,有很多公司使用債務來實現增長,而不會帶來任何負面後果。考慮公司債務水平時的第一步是將其現金和債務合併考慮。
What Is Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's Debt?
天津凱發電氣股份有限公司(Tianjin Keyvia Electric)的債務是多少?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd had CN¥124.2m of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥259.0m, one year before. However, it does have CN¥650.3m in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥526.2m.
您可以點擊下方的圖表查看歷史數據,但它顯示,2024年6月,天津凱發電氣股份有限公司的債務爲12420萬元人民幣,低於之前一年的25900萬元人民幣。然而,它有65030萬元人民幣的現金來抵消這筆債務,從而得出淨現金達到52620萬元人民幣。
A Look At Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's Liabilities
天津凱發電氣有限公司負債一覽
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd had liabilities of CN¥1.06b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥163.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥650.3m and CN¥974.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥397.9m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
我們可以從最近的資產負債表上看到,天津凱發電氣有限公司有10.6億元人民幣的短期到期負債,以及超過16380萬元人民幣的長期到期負債。另一方面,它有65030萬元人民幣的現金和97480萬元人民幣的應收賬款短期到期。因此,它實際上比總負債多有39790萬元人民幣的流動資產。
This short term liquidity is a sign that Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!
這種短期流動性表明,天津凱發電氣有限公司可能很容易償還其債務,因爲其資產負債表並不緊張。簡而言之,天津凱發電氣有限公司擁有淨現金,所以可以說它沒有沉重的債務負擔!
The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 37% cut to EBIT over the last year. Falling earnings (if the trend continues) could eventually make even modest debt quite risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
如果管理層無法阻止過去一年37%的EBIt下降的情況再次發生,天津凱發電氣有限公司的債務負擔的適度性可能變得至關重要。收益下降(如果趨勢持續下去)最終可能使甚至適度的債務變得相當風險。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但你不能將債務完全孤立地看待;因爲天津凱發電氣有限公司將需要盈利來償還那些債務。因此,在考慮債務時,絕對值得關注盈利趨勢。點擊這裏查看互動快照。
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 88% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.
最後,儘管稅務部門可能熱愛會計利潤,但貸款人只接受冰冷的現金。天津凱發電氣有限公司的資產負債表上可能有淨現金,但看其業務如何將利息和稅前利潤(EBIT)轉化爲自由現金流,這仍然很有趣,因爲這將影響其管理債務的需求和能力。在過去三年中,天津凱發電氣有限公司的自由現金流價值相當於其EBIt的豐厚88%,這比我們通常預期的要強。這使其處於非常有利的償還債務的位置。
Summing Up
總之
While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd has net cash of CN¥526.2m, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥125m, being 88% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Tianjin Keyvia ElectricLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
雖然我們理解對債務感到擔憂的投資者,但你應該記住,凱發電氣有人民幣52620萬的淨現金,以及比負債更多的流動資產。而且其自由現金流達到了人民幣12500萬,佔其EBIt的88%。所以我們對凱發電氣公司使用債務並沒有任何問題。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是明顯的起點。但最終,每家公司都可能存在超出資產負債表範圍的風險。例如,我們發現了3個對凱發電氣有警示的跡象(其中一個有點不愉快!)在你投資之前,你應該注意這些。
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
如果在所有這些之後,您更感興趣的是具有堅實資產負債表的快速增長公司,那麼不要拖延,查看我們的淨現金增長股票列表。
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