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GCH Technology (SHSE:688625) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

GCH Technology (SHSE:688625) Could Be Struggling To Allocate Capital

GCH科技(SHSE:688625)可能在资本配置方面遇到困难
Simply Wall St ·  10/19 09:06

If you're not sure where to start when looking for the next multi-bagger, there are a few key trends you should keep an eye out for. Firstly, we'd want to identify a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and then alongside that, an ever-increasing base of capital employed. Put simply, these types of businesses are compounding machines, meaning they are continually reinvesting their earnings at ever-higher rates of return. Having said that, while the ROCE is currently high for GCH Technology (SHSE:688625), we aren't jumping out of our chairs because returns are decreasing.

如果您不确定从哪里开始寻找下一个股价暴涨的股票,有一些关键趋势是您应该留意的。首先,我们要确定资本运用回报率(ROCE)不断增长,同时,在这之后,资本运用的基础也在不断增加。简单来说,这些类型的企业是复利机器,意味着它们在以越来越高的回报率不断再投资其盈利。话虽如此,尽管GCH Technology(SHSE:688625)的ROCE目前很高,但由于回报正在下降,我们并没有兴奋得跳起来。

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

上面您可以看到蒙托克可再生能源现行ROCE与之前资本回报的比较,但过去只能知道这么多。如果您感兴趣,可以查看我们免费的蒙托克可再生能源分析师报告,了解分析师的预测。

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. The formula for this calculation on GCH Technology is:

只是为了澄清,如果您不确定,ROCE是评估公司在其业务中投入的资本上可以赚取多少税前收入的度量标准。在GCH Technology上进行此计算的公式是:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

资产雇用回报率(ROCE)是指企业利润,即企业税前利润除以企业投入的总资本(负债加股权)。如果ROCE高于企业财务成本的承受能力,那么企业就会创造出更多的价值。

0.20 = CN¥251m ÷ (CN¥3.0b - CN¥1.8b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

0.20 = 25100万元人民币 ÷(30亿人民币 - 18亿人民币)(截至2024年6月的过去十二个月)。

Thus, GCH Technology has an ROCE of 20%. In absolute terms that's a great return and it's even better than the Chemicals industry average of 5.5%.

因此,GCH Technology的ROCE为20%。就绝对值而言,这是一个很好的回报,甚至比化学品行业平均水平的5.5%要好。

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SHSE:688625 Return on Capital Employed October 19th 2024
SHSE:688625 2024年10月19日资本运用回报率

In the above chart we have measured GCH Technology's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free analyst report for GCH Technology .

在上面的图表中,我们已经对GCH Technology之前的ROCE与其之前的表现进行了衡量,但未来可能更重要。如果您感兴趣,您可以查看我们为GCH Technology免费提供的分析师报告中的预测。

The Trend Of ROCE

当寻找下一个倍增器时,如果您不确定从哪里开始,请关注几个关键趋势。首先,我们希望看到一个经过验证的资本使用率。如果您看到这一点,通常意味着这是一家拥有出色业务模式和大量盈利再投资机会的公司。然而,调查蒙托克可再生能源公司(NASDAQ:MNTK)后,我们认为它的现行趋势不符合倍增器的模式。

In terms of GCH Technology's historical ROCE movements, the trend isn't fantastic. Historically returns on capital were even higher at 38%, but they have dropped over the last five years. However, given capital employed and revenue have both increased it appears that the business is currently pursuing growth, at the consequence of short term returns. And if the increased capital generates additional returns, the business, and thus shareholders, will benefit in the long run.

就GCH Technology历史ROCE走势而言,趋势并不理想。在历史上,资本回报率甚至更高达38%,但在过去五年里已经下降。然而,考虑到投入资本和营业收入均已增加,该业务目前似乎正在追求增长,以短期回报为代价。如果增加的资本带来额外的回报,那么业务,因此股东们,最终将从中受益。

While on the subject, we noticed that the ratio of current liabilities to total assets has risen to 59%, which has impacted the ROCE. Without this increase, it's likely that ROCE would be even lower than 20%. What this means is that in reality, a rather large portion of the business is being funded by the likes of the company's suppliers or short-term creditors, which can bring some risks of its own.

顺便说一下,我们注意到流动负债与总资产的比率已上升至59%,这影响了ROCE。如果没有这种增加,ROCE很可能会低于20%。这意味着实际上,公司资金的相当大一部分来自公司的供应商或短期债权人,这会带来自己的风险。

In Conclusion...

最后,同等资本下回报率较低的趋势通常不是我们关注创业板股票的最佳信号。由于这些发展进行良好,因此投资者不太可能表现友好。自五年前以来,该股下跌了32%。除非这些指标朝着更积极的轨迹转变,否则我们将继续寻找其他股票。

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that GCH Technology is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. And there could be an opportunity here if other metrics look good too, because the stock has declined 23% in the last three years. As a result, we'd recommend researching this stock further to uncover what other fundamentals of the business can show us.

总结一下,尽管短期回报较低,但我们鼓励看到GCH Technology正在进行再投资以实现增长,并因此销售额增加。如果其他指标也看起来良好,这里可能存在机会,因为过去三年股价下跌了23%。因此,我们建议进一步研究这只股票,以了解业务的其他基本面能够向我们展示什么。

If you want to know some of the risks facing GCH Technology we've found 2 warning signs (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

如果你想了解一些GCH Technology面临的风险,我们发现了2个警告信号(其中1个令人关注!),在投资这里之前,你应该意识到这些。

If you'd like to see other companies earning high returns, check out our free list of companies earning high returns with solid balance sheets here.

如果您想看到其他公司获得高回报,请在此查看我们免费的高回报、坚实财务状况的公司列表。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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这篇文章是Simply Wall St的一般性文章。我们根据历史数据和分析师预测提供评论,只使用公正的方法论,我们的文章并不意味着提供任何金融建议。文章不构成买卖任何股票的建议,也不考虑您的目标或您的财务状况。我们的目标是带给您基本数据驱动的长期关注分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St没有任何股票头寸。

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