When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 18x, you may consider Golar LNG Limited (NASDAQ:GLNG) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 27.9x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Golar LNG has been doing quite well of late. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Golar LNG will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Golar LNG would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 44% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the five analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 3.0% each year over the next three years. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 10% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
In light of this, it's alarming that Golar LNG's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Key Takeaway
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Golar LNG's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Golar LNG that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Golar LNG. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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