BTC, the twilight star has appeared, and BTC has now rebounded 10,000 points. Do you think it's an opportunity or a risk? Looking at it now, it's just that the amount of energy is small. Both sides are hesitant in this position. From the perspective of harvesting, it is true that the ultimate goal of insanity has not been reached, but emotions have also entered the risk zone.

However, anyone who is an old part of the coin industry knows that right now, regardless of whether you go short or go long, you will face the risk of losing your position. But if you don't want to recommend it, as long as you have enough deposit, I would still recommend shorting because of this location, this time, and this sentiment, you know.

From the daily levelMACDLooking at the fast and slow line, it has gradually entered the higher zone. Because of this wave of increase, the bookmakers are making every effort to go long. I predict that the MACD should occur, and there will be a high level of fueling in the air. The price may not go directly down, but the more it rises, the higher the risk.

On the macro side, on October 10, the Federal Reserve announced that the September meeting was important: Officials agreed that the larger interest rate cuts passed at the meeting should not be seen as a sign of concern about the economic outlook, nor should they be seen as a sign that the Federal Reserve is preparing to cut interest rates quickly. Officials commenting on the degree of restrictions on monetary policy believe that monetary policy is restrictive, and participants also emphasized the importance of communication. The importance of communication is to clearly communicate that the Committee's monetary policy decisions depend on the evolution of the economy and its impact on economic prospects and risk balance, so this is not a predetermined route. Furthermore, some participants indicated that the process of the Federal Reserve downsizing could continue for some time.

In other words, the Federal Reserve believes that the US economy is still performing strongly. Even if interest rates are cut sharply, it is not because of economic concerns; the downsizing will continue.

During this period, the US dollar strengthened again, gold declined, yen fell, and US debt fell again. In particular, long-term US bond yields have risen to 4%, which shows that the Federal Reserve will not cut interest rates that fast in the capital game.

Over the past two years, the Federal Reserve has turned things around. More than a year ago, the market expected to cut interest rates. As a result, it dragged on for a year. It was hard to wait until interest rates were cut, and it persisted in maintaining high interest rates, breaking market expectations over and over again.

From the perspective of a conspiracy theory, the US definitely doesn't want China to get better. Just trying to get rid of its shoulders and bail out the market, the Federal Reserve said it would not cut interest rates quickly, and A-shares continued to plummet after the holiday season (although it was also because the short-term increase was too big, too crazy).

The US Federal Reserve really doesn't dare to be too aggressive at this stage. Before the general election, it is necessary to ensure the stability of the capital market. Cutting interest rates drastically can easily cause capital to flow out of the US too fast. If it causes panic and puts too much pressure on the stock market, we can only hope for the economysoft landing, gradual interest rate cuts, time in exchange for space.

Faced with the Federal Reserve's continued downsizing, there is no rush to cut interest rates drastically, and the crypto market does not have a large amount of liquidity. The pressure is highlighted, and it still has to be worn out. However, after the general election, no matter who wins, they will continue to print money to deal with high debt. At that time, we will look at the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.

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