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Is Perimeter Solutions (NYSE:PRM) A Risky Investment?

Is Perimeter Solutions (NYSE:PRM) A Risky Investment?

Perimeter Solutions (纽交所:PRM) 是一个风险投资吗?
Simply Wall St ·  10/21 10:50

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Perimeter Solutions, SA (NYSE:PRM) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

霍华德·马克斯说得很好,与其担心股价波动,'我担心的是永久性损失的可能性...每位务实的投资者都会关注这一点。' 当你考量一家公司的风险时,自然会关注其资产负债表,因为债务往往与一家企业倒闭有关。我们可以看到Perimeter Solutions, SA(纽交所: PRM)确实在业务中使用了债务。但股东们是否应该担心其使用债务?

When Is Debt A Problem?

什么时候负债才是一个问题?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般来说,只有当一家公司无法轻松偿还债务时,债务才会变成真正的问题,无论是通过筹集资本还是通过自己的现金流。如果情况变得非常糟糕,债权人可以控制企业。虽然这种情况并不常见,但我们经常看到负债累累的公司因为债权人迫使他们以困境价格发行股票而永久稀释股东。然而,通过取代稀释,债务可以成为需要资本以高回报率投资增长的企业的一个非常好的工具。当我们审查负债水平时,我们首先考虑现金和债务水平。

What Is Perimeter Solutions's Debt?

什么是Perimeter Solutions的债务?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Perimeter Solutions had US$777.8m in debt in June 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$43.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$734.6m.

下面的图表,您可以点击以查看更详细信息,显示了Perimeter Solutions在2024年6月有77780万美元债务;与前一年差不多。然而,它确实有4320万美元的现金来抵消这笔债务,导致净债务约73460万美元。

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NYSE:PRM Debt to Equity History October 21st 2024
纽交所:PRM债务资产比历史 2024年10月21日

How Healthy Is Perimeter Solutions' Balance Sheet?

Perimeter Solutions的资产负债表健康状况如何?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Perimeter Solutions had liabilities of US$81.9m due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.16b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$43.2m and US$98.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.10b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

最新资产负债表数据显示,Perimeter Solutions有8190万美元的短期负债,11.6亿美元后续到期的负债。另一方面,它有4320万美元的现金和9850万美元的应收账款在一年内到期。因此,其负债总额比现金和短期应收账款总和多出11亿美元。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Perimeter Solutions has a market capitalization of US$1.96b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.

虽然这可能看起来很多,但并不那么糟糕,因为Perimeter Solutions的市值为19.6亿美元,所以如果需要的话,它可能通过增加资本来加强其资产负债表。但我们确实希望密切关注其债务带来的过大风险的迹象。

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Service Corporation International的债务是其EBITDA的3.5倍,而其EBIT可覆盖其利息开支的3.7倍。综合考虑,虽然我们不希望看到债务水平上升,但我们认为它可以应对当前的杠杆。好消息是,Service Corporation International在过去12个月中将其EBIT提高了2.9%,从而逐渐降低了其相对于收益的债务水平。毫无疑问,我们从资产负债表中获得了有关债务的大部分内容。但是,相对于资产负债表,更重要的是未来收益,这将决定Service Corporation International维持健康资产负债表的能力。如果您关注未来,您可以查看此免费报告,其中有分析师的利润预测。

Weak interest cover of 0.69 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 7.8 hit our confidence in Perimeter Solutions like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even worse, Perimeter Solutions saw its EBIT tank 80% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Perimeter Solutions can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

0.69倍的利益覆盖倍数和7.8的高净债务与EBITDA比率让我们对Perimeter Solutions的信心受到沉重打击。这里的债务负担相当大。更糟糕的是,过去12个月里,Perimeter Solutions看到其EBIT下滑80%。如果收入继续这样下滑,偿还债务将比说服我们在雨中跑马拉松更难。分析债务水平时,资产负债表显然是起点。但最终业务的未来盈利能力将决定Perimeter Solutions是否能够随时间加强其资产负债表。因此,如果您想知道专业人士的看法,您可能会发现对分析师盈利预测的免费报告很有趣。

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent two years, Perimeter Solutions recorded free cash flow of 23% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.

最后,虽然税务部门可能崇拜会计利润,但贷款人只接受冰冷的现金。因此,合乎逻辑的步骤是查看EBIT中可以实际匹配的自由现金流比例。回顾过去两年,Perimeter Solutions录得的自由现金流量占其EBIT的23%,这比我们预期的要弱。在偿还债务方面,这并不乐观。

Our View

我们的观点

To be frank both Perimeter Solutions's interest cover and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow also fails to instill confidence. We're quite clear that we consider Perimeter Solutions to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. Given our concerns about Perimeter Solutions's debt levels, it seems only prudent to check if insiders have been ditching the stock.

坦白地说,Perimeter Solutions的利息支付覆盖率以及其EBIt的发展纪录使我们对其债务水平感到相当不安。此外,其将EBIt转换为自由现金流的能力也未能让人信心倍增。我们非常清楚地认为,考虑到Perimeter Solutions的资产负债表状况,我们认为其风险相当大。因此,我们对该股持谨慎态度,认为股东应该密切关注其流动性。考虑到我们对Perimeter Solutions的债务水平的担忧,检查一下内部人员是否一直在抛售该股似乎是明智之举。

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

归根结底,专注于没有净债务的公司往往更好。您可以访问我们的特别列表,其中包括所有表现出盈利增长轨迹的公司。这是免费的。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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