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There's Reason For Concern Over ASR Microelectronics Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688220) Massive 54% Price Jump

ASRマイクロエレクトロニクス株式会社(SHSE:688220)の株価が驚異的に54%上昇したことについて懸念すべき理由があります

Simply Wall St ·  10/21 19:18

ASR Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688220) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 54% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 20% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that ASR Microelectronics' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Semiconductor industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 6.8x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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SHSE:688220 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 21st 2024

What Does ASR Microelectronics' Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, ASR Microelectronics has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on ASR Microelectronics.

How Is ASR Microelectronics' Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like ASR Microelectronics' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 51% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 77% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 23% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 38% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this information, we find it interesting that ASR Microelectronics is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From ASR Microelectronics' P/S?

ASR Microelectronics appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

When you consider that ASR Microelectronics' revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with ASR Microelectronics, and understanding should be part of your investment process.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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