Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at PhiChem (SZSE:300398) the Stock Advances 8.7%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 21%
Despite the Downward Trend in Earnings at PhiChem (SZSE:300398) the Stock Advances 8.7%, Bringing Five-year Gains to 21%
Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, the PhiChem Corporation (SZSE:300398) share price is up 19% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 13% (ignoring dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 8.3%, including dividends.
一般来说,积极的选股目标是找到那些提供高于市场平均回报的公司。虽然积极的选股涉及风险(并需要分散投资),但也可以提供超额回报。例如,飞凯材料(SZSE:300398)的股价在过去5年上涨了19%,明显优于市场回报约13%(不计算分红派息)。另一方面,最近的收益并不那么令人印象深刻,股东仅获得了8.3%的收益,包括分红。
Since it's been a strong week for PhiChem shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.
由于飞凯材料股东本周表现强劲,让我们来看一下长期基本面的趋势。
In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
在他的文章《格雷厄姆-多德斯维尔的超级投资人》中,沃伦·巴菲特描述了股票价格并不总是理性地反映公司价值的情况。一种有缺陷但合理的评估公司情绪如何变化的方法是将每股收益(EPS)与股票价格进行比较。
PhiChem's earnings per share are down 26% per year, despite strong share price performance over five years.
尽管在过去五年股价表现强劲,飞凯材料的每股收益每年下降26%。
The strong decline in earnings per share suggests the market isn't using EPS to judge the company. The falling EPS doesn't correlate with the climbing share price, so it's worth taking a look at other metrics.
每股收益的大幅下降表明市场并没有使用EPS来评判这家公司。下滑的EPS与不断攀升的股价不一致,因此值得看看其他指标。
We doubt the modest 0.5% dividend yield is attracting many buyers to the stock. On the other hand, PhiChem's revenue is growing nicely, at a compound rate of 14% over the last five years. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.
我们怀疑微薄的0.5%股息率并没有吸引很多买家购买该股票。另一方面,飞凯材料的营业收入增长势头不错,在过去五年里以14%的复合增长率增长。在这种情况下,公司可能正在牺牲当前每股收益来推动增长。
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
下面的图表显示了收益和营收随时间的变化情况(通过单击图像揭示确切的值)。
This free interactive report on PhiChem's balance sheet strength is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
如果您想进一步调查这支股票,飞凯材料资产负债表实力的这份免费互动报告是一个很好的起点。
What About Dividends?
那么分红怎么样呢?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, PhiChem's TSR for the last 5 years was 21%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
在考虑投资回报时,重要的是考虑总股东回报(TSR)和股价回报之间的差异。 TSR是一种回报计算,考虑了现金分红的价值(假设重新投资了任何分红收入)以及任何折让的资本筹集价值和拆分价值。可以说,TSR为股票产生的回报提供了更全面的图景。事实上,飞凯材料过去5年的TSR为21%,超过了前面提到的股价回报。公司支付的分红因此提高了总股东回报。
A Different Perspective
不同的观点
It's nice to see that PhiChem shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 8.3% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 4%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand PhiChem better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for PhiChem that you should be aware of.
很高兴看到飞凯材料的股东在过去一年里获得了总股东回报率为8.3%。当然,这包括了分红派息。这样的增长优于过去五年的年度TSR,为4%。因此,最近公司周围的情绪似乎是积极的。鉴于股价势头依然强劲,也许值得更仔细地观察一下这支股票,以免错过机会。追踪股价长期表现总是很有趣。但要更好地理解飞凯材料,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,我们已经确定了3个飞凯材料的警告迹象,你应该知道。
Of course PhiChem may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
当然,飞凯材料可能不是最佳的购买股票。所以您可能希望查看这些免费的成长股收藏。
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所上市的股票的市场加权平均回报。
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