With the business potentially at an important milestone, we thought we'd take a closer look at BBB Foods Inc.'s (NYSE:TBBB) future prospects. BBB Foods Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates a chain of grocery retail stores in Mexico. The US$3.7b market-cap company posted a loss in its most recent financial year of Mex$306m and a latest trailing-twelve-month loss of Mex$336m leading to an even wider gap between loss and breakeven. The most pressing concern for investors is BBB Foods' path to profitability – when will it breakeven? Below we will provide a high-level summary of the industry analysts' expectations for the company.
Consensus from 8 of the American Consumer Retailing analysts is that BBB Foods is on the verge of breakeven. They expect the company to post a final loss in 2023, before turning a profit of Mex$374m in 2024. Therefore, the company is expected to breakeven roughly 12 months from now or less. At what rate will the company have to grow in order to realise the consensus estimates forecasting breakeven in under 12 months? Using a line of best fit, we calculated an average annual growth rate of 51%, which is rather optimistic! Should the business grow at a slower rate, it will become profitable at a later date than expected.
Underlying developments driving BBB Foods' growth isn't the focus of this broad overview, however, take into account that generally a high growth rate is not out of the ordinary, particularly when a company is in a period of investment.
One thing we'd like to point out is that The company has managed its capital prudently, with debt making up 30% of equity. This means that it has predominantly funded its operations from equity capital, and its low debt obligation reduces the risk around investing in the loss-making company.
Next Steps:
There are too many aspects of BBB Foods to cover in one brief article, but the key fundamentals for the company can all be found in one place – BBB Foods' company page on Simply Wall St. We've also compiled a list of essential factors you should further research:
- Valuation: What is BBB Foods worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether BBB Foods is currently mispriced by the market.
- Management Team: An experienced management team on the helm increases our confidence in the business – take a look at who sits on BBB Foods's board and the CEO's background.
- Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.