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Guanhao Biotech Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300238) 39% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Oct 22 15:13

Guanhao Biotech Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300238) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 39% gain in the last month alone. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 4.1% isn't as attractive.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Guanhao BiotechLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 9.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Biotechs industry have P/S ratios below 6.7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

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SZSE:300238 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 22nd 2024

What Does Guanhao BiotechLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

We'd have to say that with no tangible growth over the last year, Guanhao BiotechLtd's revenue has been unimpressive. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the benign revenue growth will improve to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Guanhao BiotechLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Guanhao BiotechLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

Guanhao BiotechLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 23% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 218% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Guanhao BiotechLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Guanhao BiotechLtd's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Guanhao BiotechLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Guanhao BiotechLtd that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Guanhao BiotechLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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