The HOB Biotech Group Corp.,Ltd (SHSE:688656) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 37%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 26% in the last twelve months.
After such a large jump in price, HOB Biotech GroupLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.6x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 33x and even P/E's below 19x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
HOB Biotech GroupLtd has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on HOB Biotech GroupLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.
How Is HOB Biotech GroupLtd's Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, HOB Biotech GroupLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 20%. Still, incredibly EPS has fallen 52% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 37% shows it's an unpleasant look.
With this information, we find it concerning that HOB Biotech GroupLtd is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From HOB Biotech GroupLtd's P/E?
The large bounce in HOB Biotech GroupLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that HOB Biotech GroupLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent earnings have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see earnings heading backwards and underperforming the market forecasts, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for HOB Biotech GroupLtd that we have uncovered.
You might be able to find a better investment than HOB Biotech GroupLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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