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Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd (SHSE:603799) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd (SHSE:603799) Just Released Its Third-Quarter Earnings: Here's What Analysts Think

華友鈷業股份有限公司(SHSE:603799)剛剛發佈了其第三季度收益:分析師們的看法
Simply Wall St ·  10/22 18:17

It's been a good week for Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co., Ltd (SHSE:603799) shareholders, because the company has just released its latest third-quarter results, and the shares gained 7.8% to CN¥30.76. Results look mixed - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at CN¥30b, statutory earnings were in line with expectations, at CN¥0.80 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

對於華友鈷業股份有限公司(SHSE:603799)的股東來說,這是一個不錯的一週,因爲該公司剛剛發佈了最新的第三季度業績,股價上漲了7.8%,達到30.76人民幣。業績看起來褒貶不一-儘管營業收入略低於分析師預期的300億元人民幣,法定收益符合預期,每股0.80元人民幣。對於投資者來說,這是一個重要的時刻,他們可以通過報告跟蹤公司的表現,查看專家們對明年的預測,並了解業務預期是否有任何變化。因此,我們收集了最新的盈利後法定共識預估,以了解明年可能發生的情況。

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SHSE:603799 Earnings and Revenue Growth October 22nd 2024
SHSE:603799 2024年10月22日的收益和營業收入增長

Following the latest results, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt's eleven analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥78.4b in 2025. This would be a major 29% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to expand 12% to CN¥2.25. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥78.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.22 in 2025. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.

根據最新的結果,華友鈷業的十一名分析師預測,2025年營業收入將達到784億元人民幣。這將是與過去12個月相比收入大幅增長29%。預計法定每股收益將增長12%,達到2.25元人民幣。在這份盈利報告之前,分析師一直預測2025年營業收入爲784億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲2.22元人民幣。一致的分析師似乎沒有在這些結果中看到任何會改變他們對業務的看法,因爲他們的估計沒有發生重大變化。

The analysts reconfirmed their price target of CN¥29.75, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥38.30 and the most bearish at CN¥21.40 per share. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.

分析師確認了他們對29.75元人民幣的價格目標,顯示業務執行良好,符合預期。然而,我們不能僅從這些數據得出結論,因爲一些投資者在評估分析師價格目標時也喜歡考慮估計價差。對於華友鈷業存在一些不同的看法,最看好的分析師將其定價爲38.30元人民幣,而最看淡的爲21.40元人民幣每股。股票存在一些不同的觀點,但在我們看來,估計範圍並不足以暗示情況無法預測。

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 23% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 29% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 9.7% annually. Even after the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt is also expected to grow faster than the wider industry.

現在來看大局,我們可以通過將這些預測與過去的表現和行業增長預測進行比較來理解這些預測。很明顯,人們預期浙江華友鈷業的營業收入增長將大幅放緩,預計到2025年底,年增長率將顯示23%。與過去五年的歷史增長率29%相比。 作爲比較,受到分析師關注的行業中其他公司預計每年營收增長9.7%。即使在預測的增長放緩之後,浙江華友鈷業似乎也預計會比整個行業增長更快。

The Bottom Line

最重要的事情是分析師增加了它對下一年每股虧損的估計。令人欣慰的是,營收預測未發生重大變化,業務仍有望比整個行業增長更快。共識價格目標穩定在28.50美元,最新估計不足以對價格目標產生影響。

The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

最重要的一點是,情緒沒有發生重大變化,分析師重申該企業的表現符合他們之前的每股收益預期。幸運的是,他們還重申了其收入數字,表明其與預期相符。此外,我們的數據表明,收入預計將比整個行業增長得更快。共識價格目標沒有發生實質性變化,這表明該企業的內在價值沒有經歷任何重大變化。

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..

謹記這一點,我們仍然認爲業務的長期軌跡對投資者來說更重要。在Simply Wall St,我們對浙江華友鈷業的分析師估算提供了截至2026年的全部範圍,您可以在我們平台上免費查看。

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that you need to take into consideration.

值得注意的是,我們發現浙江華友鈷業存在兩個警示信號(其中1個有點不愉快!)您需要考慮這些。

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章是一般性質的。我們僅基於歷史數據和分析師預測提供評論,使用公正的方法,我們的文章並非意在提供財務建議。這並不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,並且不考慮您的目標或財務狀況。我們旨在爲您帶來基於基礎數據驅動的長期聚焦分析。請注意,我們的分析可能未考慮最新的價格敏感公司公告或定性材料。Simply Wall St對提及的任何股票都沒有持倉。

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